Overall, marriage rates are not reduced as hypothesized. Marriage formation rates in men tend to increase, whereas the marriage-reducing effects dominate or balance the opposite tendency in women. Cancer in women thus appears to be more harmful for marriage formation than cancer in men, but is mainly a consequence of the strong negative impact of female childhood cancer. This gender difference is disproportionate to findings in some larger childhood cancer studies [
7,
8,
10,
15], but not all [
16,
37]. The effects of the various cancer types are surprisingly inconsistent. Whereas skin cancer in both men and women results in elevated marriage rates, brain cancer has a negative impact only in women. This is in contrast to the findings of others [
7,
8]. Breast and testicular cancer are gender-specific cancer types, closely connected to sexuality and reproduction. Noteworthy, these cancer types result in lower marriage rates in women and elevated rates in men.
Our view on cancer is changing quit rapidly: Treatment regiments have become less aggressive over the last decades, both as a result of technological innovations and an increased awareness and recognition of the need to maximize a persons’ quality of life
after cancer [
38]. For many localized cancers today, treatment may actually be presumed to be physically nearly non-afflicting. For more advanced cancers, however, treatment may impact physical, psychological, and social functioning. Thus, marriage rates in cancer survivors do not necessarily follow the same trend over time as those of the general population, which is indeed observed here.
Theoretical framework
According to economic-demographic theory, a couple will marry if they expect that living together will be better than living alone, taking both economic and other advantages into account, and thinking that they cannot find a better partner without making substantial sacrifices [
28,
29]. Consensual unions are, however, common in Norway. Whether persons in consensual unions eventually marry or not depends on both the quality of the relationship and on the practical, economic or emotional advantages of being formally married [
35]. Childbearing and union formations are, of course, deeply intertwined. The possibility of having children contributes to the advantage of being in a relationship, and once a child is born, the value of the relationship is particularly high compared to being single or in another relationship. Thus, among those who are childless and single, the chance of marrying depends on a number of factors, including their desire for a child and their (perceived) ability to conceive. Cohabitants are apparently conscious about the strong advantages of their relationship, and marriage may be a smaller step away. Childbearing desires and opportunities will also influence their chance of marriage. Those who already have a child in Norway are typically cohabitants, and their chance of marrying may to a larger extent depend on aspects other than those related to childbearing [
35]. The advantages persons require for a marriage to occur, however, vary both between persons and over time [
30]. Most commonly, however, ‘like marries like’, more formally referred to as positive assortative mating or homogamy [
28,
29,
39]. This implies that persons with similar intelligence, education, personality, religion, health, and/or other common traits marry each other, thus encompassing cancer illness and illness consequences as a possible negative determinant in marriage formation.
An evaluation of possible mechanisms in light of results
Encountering and ‘conquering’ cancer has been suggested to influence life priorities and increase family orientation in both cancer patients and potential or existing partners [
40]. Persons who are single when getting cancer, may be more inclined to find a partner and thus direct more effort into the search, or alternatively accept a person of lower ‘standard’ compared to previously [
28,
29]. The quality of an existing relationship may be enhanced when one partner becomes ill, as cancer may be considered a joint experience, perhaps especially if the relationship was good at the outset [
41]. Cancer illness may also affect the quality of the relationship adversely, as poor health may lead to behavioral and mood changes. Various physical, psychological and social effects of cancer will inevitably interfere with persons’ abilities to undertake their usual chores and obligations in relationships, either temporarily or permanently [
42,
43]. Cancer may, however, make both the ill and the healthy person more inclined to formalize their relationship, regardless of its’ quality. A recent Norwegian study suggests that female cohabitants have stronger preferences for marriage than males have [
44]. If cancer makes younger men more inclined to marry compared to other, healthy men, this could increase their marriage rates. This may explain the elevated marriage probability observed after for instance testicular cancer.
Cancer has been hypothesized to influence emotional and physical intimacy, sexuality and fertility, and thereby marriage rates [
28,
30,
45‐
47]. Men may for instance experience erectile and ejaculatory dysfunction related to damage to the autonomic nervous system [
47], and although hormonal impairment is less common, some men with cancer may experience a general decrease in libido [
47]. Among women, direct effects of radiation fibrosis or surgical scar tissue may cause pain with sexual activity [
45]. In addition, fatigue, chronic weakness, and an altered physical appearance due to e.g. a stoma, limb amputation, or mastectomy, has been reported to negatively affect sexuality [
46]. Cancer has also been found to reduce birth rates with an overall effect of about 25% both in Norway and other countries, probably because of lower fecundity as well as weaker fertility desires [
31]. The strongest effects have been seen for women with gynecological cancers and men with testicular cancer, though the latter effects have diminished over time as a result of cryopreservation of semen and in vitro fertilization [
48]. How changes in intimacy or sexuality will affect marriage rates is not clear. It may be more attractive for a person with cancer to remain in a stable relationship rather than to continue dating. A potential partner may, however, view actual or future problems related to intimacy and/or fertility negatively. Overall, declines in fertility were expected to impact more negatively in women than men, as having children has been theorized to be particularly important for females’ roles in society [
28]. Men have, traditionally, been considered breadwinners, while women have been expected to perform a larger share of domestic activities, including care. This pattern may on the one hand result in men with cancer being less attractive due to their potential reduced income capacity. On the other hand, some have suggested that women may be prepared to care for men, but that men may lack experience and practice in caring for women, and thus perhaps are less willing to take on responsibility for a sick partner [
49]. Potential differences will, however, most likely become weaker over time, as men and women perform more similar roles in society [
30].
The gender differences observed are in part in line with the predictions. Whereas breast cancer significantly reduced women’s marriage probability, no effect was observed for gynecological cancers. This latter finding may suggest that fertility expectations do not influence marriage formation rates strongly in either gender. Breast cancer is in general quite visible, while testicular cancer and gynecological cancers may be considered more private diseases. Brain cancer can be extremely debilitating and alter both physical, psychological, and social functioning [
38]. It may thus significantly interfere with the ability to fill the role of a life partner. Low marriage rates could thus be expected for both genders. Men with brain cancer, however, appear to have the same marriage probability as cancer-free men. Studies suggest that the effect of radiation treatment may be more severe for female brain cancer survivors [
24], and that psychosocial outcomes may be worse [
50]. Social explanations tied to gender roles are, however, also possible [
28]. Prognosis is in general more favorable for testicular cancer and gynecological cancers compared to for instance breast and brain cancer and may also play a role. Expectations of outcomes with regard to both morbidity and mortality may impact the decision to marry, as may be implied from the estimates provided on effects of disease spread: Men with good or poor prognosis appear to have a higher likelihood of marriage than those with a fair outlook, whereas women’s marriage rates decline with increasing morbidity.
Unmarried parents, either cancer survivors or their partners, may find formalizing bonds through marriage to be beneficial for both practical and economic reasons, for themselves as well as for their children. Norwegian legislation on economic matters in case of parental disability or death is less ambiguous for married couples than for single persons, persons in relationships, or cohabitants, and may thus motivate marriage. A strong positive effect of cancer is indeed seen for male parents’ marriage probability, while no corresponding effect is seen for female parents. A possible explanation for the gender differences observed may be that men still continue to be the primary breadwinners in Norway, and that couples want to secure an independent economic situation if possible, in particular in the uncertain initial phase or during the most critical periods. This is also valid for brain cancer survivors: Male
parents and those who married very shortly after diagnosis are responsible for the increased marriage rate. Analyses stratified on educational level, however, suggested that it was the lower and not higher educated male cancer survivors that had the highest marriage formation rates. On the one hand, this was somewhat surprising, as ‘breadwinners’ were expected to secure their families through marriage to the greatest extent. On the other hand, lower educated men are in general married to women with lower educations and incomes [
39], and these families may be in a particularly vulnerable situation thus opting for marriage.
One limitation of the current study is that it only considers marriage formation. Cohabitation has become increasingly common in Norway as in most other developed countries [
33,
34], and also these transitions should ideally have been modeled in order to determine whether the chance of forming
any relationship, not only marriage, is affected by cancer. Unfortunately, reliable data on cohabitation are not available.