No association between a candidate TCF7L2 variant and risk of breast or ovarian cancer

Transcription factor 7-like 2 (TCF7L2) encodes a transcription factor involved in Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway which encompasses an intronic single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP, rs12255372) that has been associated with risk of Type 2 diabetes in linkage studies and genome-wide association studies [1‐4] with potential modification by obesity [5]. TCF7L2 forms an active nuclear complex with β-catenin that binds and induces the expression of target genes involved in cellular proliferation, evasion of apoptosis, and tissue invasion and metastasis. Because of the protein's relevance in this canonical cancer pathway, several cancer association studies have been conducted. Studies report associations with increased risk of familial breast cancer [6] and aggressiveness of prostate cancer [7]; there are conflicting reports in colon cancer showing decreased risk [8], increased risk [9], or differential risk by NSAIDs use [10]. We sought to assess the role of this polymorphism in risk of breast and ovarian cancer and, based on other reports, in subsets defined by body mass index (BMI), family history, and measures of disease aggressiveness (e.g., stage, histological subtypes).

Female participants were recruited at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, MN. Invasive breast cancer cases (N = 798) were over 18 years of age and enrolled within six months of diagnosis. Invasive or borderline epithelial ovarian cancer cases (N = 391) were over 20 years of age and living in the Upper Midwest enrolled within one year of diagnosis. Controls (breast cancer N = 843; ovarian cancer N = 458) were frequency-matched on age and region of residence and seen for general medical examinations. Risk factor information was collected through interviews, clinical data was abstracted from medical records, and DNA was extracted from peripheral blood (Gentra). All breast cancer participants and 98% of ovarian cancer participants were white non-Hispanic. Details are provided elsewhere [11, 12].

For both breast and ovarian cancer, no overall association with risk was observed (per-allele OR, 95% CI; breast 1.04, 0.89-1.22; ovarian 0.96, 0.77-1.20). Breast cancer stratified analyses revealed no associations (p's > 0.05) among groups defined by menopausal status, BMI, family history, or tumor histology (Table 1). Assuming independent genotype effects (co-dominance), differential risk of breast cancer by genotype for HER2 positive was suggested (GT vs GG 1.68, 1.12-2.53; TT vs GG 0.49, 0.17-1.45; 2 d.f. p = 0.01). Exploratory analyses assuming dominance (GT/TT v GG) suggested elevated breast cancer risks for pre-menopausal (1.46, 0.99-2.15; p = 0.06), HER2 positive (1.48, 1.00-2.01; p = 0.05), and triple negative cases (2.01, 1.10-3.67; p = 0.02). Although subgroups were limited in size, these results are consistent with involvement of rs12255372 in non-luminal tumors. Analyses among ovarian cancer sub-groups did not suggest varied associations by age, BMI, family history, stage, grade, histology, or tumor behavior (Table 2). A significant association (p = 0.02) among 12 cases with grade 1 disease compared to 458 controls is likely due to chance, as the number of strata examined was large, sample size was small, no trend with grade was seen, and no biological explanation fits this observation.

TCF7L2 has received much recent attention, as a consistently-replicated association that originated out of a traditional genetic linkage scan [3] that also appears consistently as a "top hit" for several phenotypes in genome-wide association studies [13]. Although association between rs12255372 and risk of Type 2 diabetes is thought to be due to impairment of insulin secretion [14], TCF7L2 has also long been known to have a role in Wnt/β-catenin signaling. Deregulation of the Wnt pathway is involved in the mechanisms of carcinogenesis [15], and mutations in Wnt-related genes have been detected in many cancers [16‐18], indicating somatic mutations are important deregulation mechanisms of Wnt signaling. In breast cancer, we recently demonstrated that SNPs in the AXIN2 and APC genes are associated with risk [11]. In ovarian cancer, somatic mutations in CTNNB1 (encoding β-catenin) are directly linked to carcinogenic transformation, but they are rare and mostly found in endometrioid adenocarcinomas [19]. Ovarian expression studies show differences for distinct cellular components of the Wnt pathway between normal and cancer cells [20] implicating Wnt signaling in the molecular events leading to ovarian cancer despite the fact that gene mutations are uncommon [21].

Because of the importance of Wnt/β-catenin signaling in breast and ovarian cancer, TCF7L2's critical role in combining with β-catenin, clear associations of rs12255372 with non-cancer phenotypes, and suggestive evidence of association with cancer phenotypes, we hypothesized that genotypes at this SNP may be associated with risk of breast and/or ovarian cancer. However, no strong association was suggested in our analysis of almost 800 breast cancer cases and 850 controls, and almost 400 ovarian cancer cases and 450 controls.

These results contrast with a smaller analysis of 592 familial breast cancer cases and 735 controls which showed a per-allele OR of 1.19 (95% CI 1.01-1.42) [6]. Our breast cancer case-control series provided 80% power to detect an OR as low as 1.22, assuming a minor allele frequency of 0.25 and a Type I error rate of 0.05 and was adequately powered to detect similar modest associations. Additionally, there may be an association in smaller subsets consistent with non-luminal tumors. No ovarian cancer analyses have been reported to date. Previous reports in other traits suggested varied association by BMI, family history, and tumor features; although subset sample sizes were small, we found no evidence for association between rs12255372 and risk in any subset.

Despite strong prior evidence that this SNP may play a role women's cancer susceptibility, we conclude that variation in TCF7L2 is not likely to be associated with risk of non-familial breast cancer or ovarian cancer. Because very modest associations could not be definitively ruled out and because increased risk may exist for triple-negative breast cancer cases, much larger studies will be required for more precise estimation of rs12255372's role in cancer susceptibility. In addition, given the role of Wnt/β-catenin signaling in cancer, identified associations of SNPs in the AXIN2 and APC genes with breast cancer and the increased risk conferred by family history for these conditions even after accounting for known syndromes, additional SNPs and genes within this pathway warrant further study.