Introduction
Pancreatic cancer is a common malignant tumor of the digestive system with high morbidity and mortality [
1,
2]. Radical surgical resection is the most effective treatment for pancreatic cancer. However, early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer is difficult because its early symptoms are often non-specific. In addition, it is highly invasive and has a poor prognosis, with an overall 5-year survival rate of less than 11% [
3]. Current options to predict the overall survival (OS) in pancreatic cancer remain unsatisfying. Because of the heterogeneous nature of pancreatic cancer, the treatment strategy and outcomes are diverse, even for tumors with the same TNM stage. Therefore, it is important to find more accurate predictive markers for the treatment of pancreatic cancer.
Pathological factors are widely recognized prognostic measures that can significantly reflect tumor phenotypic differences and have significant predictive power [
4,
5]. However, many studies have shown that the outcomes of patients with cancer are determined not only by tumor-related factors but also by patient-related factors. Inflammation-related scoring systems, such as neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic inflammation score, have been shown to correlate with prognosis for pancreatic cancer [
6,
7]. Moreover, some scoring systems composed of immunity and nutrition-related markers could also predict the prognosis of pancreatic cancer, such as the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and controlling nutritional status score [
8,
9]. However, a single blood marker can not reflect the landscape of a patient’s immune function, nutrition status, and inflammation.
The prognostic immune-inflammatory-nutritional (PIIN) score is a new scoring system which includes all of the markers that have been predominantly used now. Recently, a retrospective study of 571 patients found that PIIN score could predict the prognosis in patients with resected intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, which helped surgeons identify high-risk patients and develop individualized treatment plans [
10]. However, the significance of PIIN score in the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer has not been explored. Thus, this study aimed to investigate whether PIIN score is associated with survival after surgery in patients with pancreatic cancer.
Postoperative follow-up
In this study, overall survival (OS) was defined as the time between surgery and all-cause death or the last follow up. All patients were followed up every 3 months for 2 years after surgery, and the number of visits was reduced to every 6 months after 2 years. Survival data were extracted from outpatient or telephone records during follow-up. All patients were followed up until death or December 2022.
This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of the First Hospital of Jiaxing (batch number: 2023-KY-670). We retrospectively used information about the participants’ previous clinical visits without direct contact with them and protected their privacy. The Ethics Committee of the First Hospital of Jiaxing approved the requirement for the waiver of informed consent for this study.
PIIN score and other prognostic scoring systems
Data on the following clinical characteristics and clinicopathological information were obtained from electronic medical records of the hospital information system. Including: age, sex, tumor location, lymphovascular and nerve invasion, tumor size, grade, T stage, N stage, TNM stage, adjuvant chemotherapy, chemotherapy completion rate, and postoperative complications. Besides, lymphocyte count, neutrophil count, platelet count, fibrinogen (FIB), albumin, carbohydrate antigen 19 − 9 (CA 19 − 9) and bilirubin levels were determined within 7 days before surgery.
NLR = neutrophil count/lymphocyte count [
11]. Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) = platelet count × neutrophil count/lymphocyte count [
12]. albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score = -0.085× albumin (g/L) + 0.66 × log
10 bilirubin (µmol/L) [
13]. PNI = 10 × albumin (g/L) + 5 × lymphocyte count [
14].
The PIIN score was calculated according to Jiang et al.’s method, with five parameters including NLR, SII, FIB, ALBI, and PNI [
10]. PIIN score = NLR × 0.876 + SII × 0.0174 + FIB × 14.355 + ALBI × 2.209 − PNI × 0.386. In this study, we further adjusted the cut-off value using X-tile software. The ideal cut-off point was found to be 37.2 for PIIN score.
Statistical analysis
In this study, chi-square test or Fisher’s exact probability method was used to assess the relationship between PIIN score and the clinicopathological features of the patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression to assess the prognostic factors. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curve, and a parallel log-rank test was performed. A time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under curve (AUC) were used to compare the prognostic abilities of PIIN score and other prognostic scoring systems. A nomogram was then built by using the variables in the multivariate analysis to predict OS at 1, 3, and 5 years after surgery. ROC curve analyses were performed to compare the predicting efficiency of the prediction model. Calibration curves were plotted to evaluate the consistency between predicted and observed survival. The cut-off values of age and CA 19 − 9 level were generated by the X-tile software (3.6.1; Yale University, New Haven, USA). Statistical significance was set at a two-sided P-value equal to 0.05.
SPSS (version 22.0; IBM Corporation, Armonk, NY, USA) and R software (R Project for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria) were used for data processing. The R-packet “timeROC” was used for time-dependent ROC curve analysis, and the nomogram was drawn using the R-packet “rms”.
Discussion
A single indicator is insufficient for prognosis risk stratification, highlighting the urgent need to integrate these markers. The PIIN score, which is a new scoring system that includes serum fibrinogen, NLR, SII, ALBI score, and PNI, comprehensively reflects the patient’s inflammatory, immune and nutritional status.
Previous studies have shown that postoperative complication was significantly associated with prognosis [
15,
16]. A retrospective study by Aoyama et al. revealed that postoperative complication was associated with poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer [
17]. In our cohort, the most common complication was related to infection followed by pancreatic leak and bleeding. A previous study showed that poor nutritional status with low albumin level (< 3.5 g/dL) or low BMI (< 18.5 kg/m
2) before surgery for pancreatic head cancer was a predictor of postoperative complications [
18]. Similarly, PIIN score was markedly related to postoperative complications (
P < 0.001). Therefore, PIIN score has great clinical significance for predicting postoperative complications and aiding the assessment of treatment tolerance.
Differences of the tumor location may also affect clinical and surgical outcomes. surgical margin positivity was more likely for tumors located in the uncinate process than for other tumors in a retrospective study [
19]. Moreover, different surgical approach according to tumor location could have an impact on patient’s gastrointestinal function and delay in recovery to a different degree. In our study, a significantly higher PIIN score was observed in patients with pancreatic head cancer (
P = 0.003). However, tumor location was not associated with the prognosis of pancreatic cancer. Larger clinical samples and prospective studies are needed to examine the relationship between prognosis and the tumor location.
Based on the prognostic analysis of 155 patients with pancreatic cancer who underwent radical surgery, we observed that PIIN score was an independent prognostic factor for OS. We compared the predictions of different prognostic scores by time-dependent ROC curve analysis. The results showed that PIIN score had the highest AUC value compared with NLR, SII, ALBI score, and PNI, and the prognosis prediction effect was the best. Thus, clinicians can better monitor patients considering the better accuracy of PIIN score in predicting prognosis at an individual level. Moreover, close follow-up and individualized adjuvant therapy after surgery are of great clinical significance for improving patient prognosis.
Systemic inflammatory status and local immune response in cancer patients are significantly associated with tumor progression and prognosis [
20]. Tissue damage caused by chronic inflammation produces local anti-inflammatory cytokines that promote tumor cell proliferation [
21]. As a major player in the innate immune system, neutrophils respond to various inflammatory signals, including cancer, and directly promote tumor progression, metastasis, and angiogenesis [
22]. The secretion of cytokines such as IL-6 and IL-8 induces neutrophil recruitment to the tumor site and has pro-inflammatory and angiogenic effects [
23‐
25]. Lymphocytes can be used to assess immune status, and they induce an antitumor immune response in the systemic circulation and tumor microenvironment to kill tumor cells [
26]. Lymphocytopenia has been reported to be associated with prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer [
27]. Additionally, monocytes promote immune escape by limiting the infiltration of activated CD8 T cells into tumor microenvironment [
28].
Pancreatic cancer is characterized by exocrine insufficiency and nutritional imbalance, which can lead to malnutrition and sarcopenia [
29]. Cancer-related malnutrition makes patients more vulnerable to surgical injury and serves as a negative prognostic factor. Serum albumin is an important marker of host nutritional status and is closely correlated with the degree of malnutrition. In pancreatic cancer, PNI and Controlling Nutritional Status as the nutritional status indices not only reflect the overall nutritional status of the patient but also closely related to the prognosis [
30,
31]. Therefore, carrying out a nutritional screening is a fundamental intervention in the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer and should be implemented at regular intervals during therapy.
Integrating multiple prognostic factors allows a more accurate evaluation of patients’ prognosis. In our study, the nomogram model based on the PIIN score can predict the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer after surgery. The nomogram excels in predictive performance, with ROC curves showing AUC values of 0.826, 0.798, and 0.846 for 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively. The calibration plots of the PIIN score-based nomogram model indicated that it has favorable discriminative ability in patients with pancreatic cancer. The developed nomogram not only comprehensively integrates numerous known clinicopathological features into a prognostic model but also expands the clinical applications of the PIIN score.
This study had some limitations. First, the present study, which lacked external validation, was a single-center cohort study, and selection bias might have affected the results. Second, the cut-off value of PIIN score needs to be further validated. In the future, prospective studies with larger sample sizes, and external validation of our findings in other populations, are essential.
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