There is increasing evidence that the presence of an ongoing systemic inflammatory response, as revealed by an elevated concentration of circulating serum C-reactive protein (CRP), is associated with poor outcomes in patients with advanced cancers.
14‐
20 Recent studies have revealed that the Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), an inflammation-based prognostic score that includes only serum CRP and serum albumin, is one of the most useful scoring systems for the prognostication of patients with advanced cancer.
21‐
28 Several studies have investigated the value of the GPS for postoperative prognostication of patients undergoing curative resection for CRC.
29,
30 However, few studies have reported the GPS in patients with CRLM who underwent liver resection.
31,
32
Materials and Methods
Patients
Between January 1988 and December 2010, a total of 433 patients with CRLM underwent initial liver resection at university-affiliated hospitals (Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama City University, and Yokohama City University Medical Center). Of these, 75 were excluded from analysis because extrahepatic disease was present at surgery, 14 were excluded because data on their CRP and albumin levels were not available, and 1 was excluded because of postoperative death (within 30 days). The remaining 343 patients were enrolled onto this study. None of the patients exhibited clinical evidence of infection or any other inflammatory conditions. The median follow-up period for survivors was 54.4 months (range 2–237 months). The mGPS was estimated as described previously.
33 Briefly, patients with an elevated CRP level (>10 mg/L) were allocated as mGPS-1 or -2 depending on the absence or presence of hypoalbuminemia (<35 g/L), and patients with no elevation of CRP (≤10 mg/L) were allocated as mGPS-0. The extent of the resection was recorded as major or minor, with a major resection defined as a resection of more than three segments.
Patient Follow-Up
Patients were followed up monthly at our outpatient clinic. Data were obtained and recorded, and long-term outcomes were determined through clinical follow-up, cancer registry follow-up, and contact with the patient, family, or referring physician when necessary. Serum CEA levels were measured monthly, and computed tomography (CT) was performed every 3 months. Recurrence was defined as a lesion that was biopsy-proven recurrent adenocarcinoma or a lesion that was deemed suspicious on cross-sectional imaging in the setting of an elevated CEA level. The end of follow-up was the time of last follow-up (March 2012) or death.
Adjuvant Therapy
After resection of liver metastases or extrahepatic metastases, adjuvant chemotherapy was carried out generally via hepatic artery infusion or by intravenous infusion, usually with 5-fluorouracil and l-folinic acid with or without the addition of oxaliplatin or irinotecan. In all patients who received prehepatectomy chemotherapy, the same preoperative chemotherapy was usually continued postoperatively as adjuvant therapy.
Statistical Analysis
Data are presented as mean ± standard error (SE). Differences between groups were analyzed using the Mann–Whitney U test and χ
2 test. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CI) were calculated using univariate or multivariate analysis.
Survival was measured from the time of hepatic resection to death, which was the end point. Survival curves were constructed by the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using a log-rank test. Statistical significance was defied as P < 0.05. Analysis was performed using the software package Dr. SPSS II (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).
Discussion
The present retrospective study analyzed individual clinical data for 343 patients who underwent hepatectomy among a pure cohort of patients with CRLM. Our results demonstrate the prognostic value of the mGPS for CRLM. Multivariate analysis revealed a significant association between CSS and mGPS and CEA. A few studies have evaluated the GPS in patients undergoing liver resection for CRLM; however, to our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the usefulness of the mGPS. There was no difference in DFS among patients with mGPS-0, -1, and -2 (P = 0.2125), and patients with mGPS-0 had a smaller number of liver recurrences, resulting in a much lower rate of recurrence resection than in patients with mGPS-1 and 2.
Many studies have reported that elevated CRP levels are indicative of a poor outcome in a variety of cancers.
16‐
18 For example, Wong et al.
20 reported that an elevated preoperative CRP is a predictor of poor outcome in patients undergoing curative resection for CRLM Ishizuka et al.
31 reported that in multivariate analysis, elevated CRP levels as well as the number of metastatic tumors were associated with cancer-specific death. On the other hand, hypoalbuminemia is often observed in patients with advanced cancer and is usually regarded as a good index for malnutrition and cachexia. In patients with colorectal cancer, hypoalbuminemia was reported to be associated with a poorer outcome.
30,
36
The GPS, which is based on both serum elevation of CRP and hypoalbuminemia, may enable a better appreciation of effects of the tumor on both ongoing systemic inflammation and malnutrition. The GPS was introduced to predict the prognosis of patients with advanced neoplasms.
21,
25,
29,
30,
37 The GPS was recently modified on the basis of evidence that hypoalbuminemia in patients without an elevated CRP concentration has no significant association with CSS.
30
At present, only two studies have investigated the usefulness of the GPS for postoperative death of patients undergoing curative resection for CRLM. One study revealed that in multivariate analysis, a GPS of one or two and three or more liver metastases were independent prognostic factors among 63 patients.
32 The other study revealed that the GPS was able to classify 93 patients with resectable CRLM into three independent groups and that GPS was associated with postoperative cancer-related death in univariate analysis, but not in multivariate analysis.
31 To date, most series on the value of GPS for patients undergoing liver resection for CRLM have been limited by small sample sizes. The sample size of the present study was relatively large. Our results revealed that a higher mGPS was associated with poorer survival in patients undergoing liver resection for CRLM, which is accordance with results of previous studies evaluating the prognostic value of the mGPS in colorectal and other cancers.
Although there were no significant differences between mGPS and timing (synchronous/metachronous), there seemed to be a trend toward higher mGPS in the synchronous group. These may influence aggressive biological behavior of synchronous liver metastases.
The clinical risk score (CRS), a score from 0 to 5 based on five preoperative variables, had been developed as useful prognostic scoring system and this system has been validated at other institutions.
38‐
40 In our series, CRS high (≥3) was not significantly associated with CSS in univariate analysis (HR 0.809; 95 % CI 0.506–1.294;
P = 0.377). Neoadjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 69 (20.1 %) patients and chemotherapy has changed some variables such as tumor size and CEA. Therefore, our study might not demonstrate the usefulness of the CRS.
Although our results demonstrated the prognostic value of the mGPS, Kaplan–Meier analysis and the log-rank test demonstrated no differences in DFS among patients with mGPS-0, -1, and -2 (
P = 0.2125). Two previously reported studies did not investigate the relationship between the GPS and DFS. Several recent studies on the pattern of recurrence after hepatectomy have been reported. Hill et al.
41 reported that patients with liver-only or lung-only recurrence had a better prognosis compared with patients with other patterns of recurrence. D’Angelica et al.
42 reported that the recurrence pattern and resection of the recurrence were independently associated with survival from the time of recurrence in multivariate analysis. Patients with recurrence in multiple sites reportedly had a shorter survival time than patients with recurrence in a single site; furthermore, patients with resected recurrences, regardless of site, survived longer than those who did not undergo resection. In our series, recurrence patterns exhibited no differences among patients with mGPS-0, 1, or 2. Patients with mGPS-0 had much less liver recurrence and underwent much fewer recurrence resections than did patients with mGPS-1 and 2. These differences in the patterns of recurrence and proportion of resections of recurrence according to the mGPS may affect CSS.
Patients with mGPS-1 and 2 have an elevated CRP level. An elevated CRP level may be indicative of a favorable environment for the establishment and growth of distant metastases.
20 In cell culture experiments, CRP was found to inhibit apoptosis of carcinoma cells, thereby directly regulating tumor cell growth and survival.
43 The serum level of vascular endothelial growth factor, an angiogenic factor, is increased in the presence of an elevated CRP level.
44 Angiogenesis plays an important role in tumor growth and is associated with a poor outcome in patients with gastrointestinal tumors.
45,
46 An elevated CRP level may accelerate tumor aggressiveness and reflect the tumor recurrence pattern. Therefore, patients with mGPS-1 and 2 may develop recurrences of multiple liver metastases in the remnant liver.
It is known that liver resection is the only treatment that can be used to cure CRLM.
47,
48 Although the 5-year survival for patients with mGPS-2 was more than 40 %, these patients survived shorter than those with mGPS-0 (
P = 0.0040). The number of patients with mGPS-2 was relatively small and no patient had received neoadjuvant chemotherapy. We think that the mGPS may be useful to select patients with poor prognosis. Although further study will be needed, additional treatment such as neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy or immunonutritional support may be indicated for patients with mGPS-2.
Potential limitations of the present study are that was retrospective in nature and involved one university-affiliated hospital. There were significant differences between mGPS and patient characteristics such as age, maximum tumor size, and preoperative CEA level. Therefore, a large-scale prospective validation study is needed to confirm the results.
In conclusion, our results revealed that a higher mGPS was associated with multiple aggressive patterns of liver recurrence and poorer survival in patients with CRLM. The preoperative mGPS is a simple and useful prognostic factor for postoperative survival in patients undergoing liver resection for CRLM.