Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Journal of Medical Systems 5/2011

01.10.2011 | Original Paper

Toward Effective Vaccine Deployment: A Systematic Study

verfasst von: Jiming Liu, Shang Xia

Erschienen in: Journal of Medical Systems | Ausgabe 5/2011

Einloggen, um Zugang zu erhalten

Abstract

Vaccination is a commonly-used epidemic control strategy based on direct antiviral immunization and indirect reduction of virus transmissibility. There exist three factors related to the efficacy of vaccine deployment; they are: (1) vaccine coverage, (2) releasing time, and (3) deployment method. Yet, the exact impacts of these factors still remain to be systematically studied. In our work, we examine the effectiveness of vaccination-based epidemic control in adjusting the composition of susceptible and infectious individuals (referred to as composite structure) in a host population. We develop a modified compartmental infection model for characterizing virus spreading dynamics in several age-specific host populations (one host population for each age group). We consider vaccine deployment schedules that correspond to different settings of the three deployment factors. Based on our simulation-based experiments, we evaluate the impacts of deployment factors on virus spreading dynamics as well as their implications for an effective vaccination strategy.
Literatur
3.
Zurück zum Zitat Liu J, Xia S. ACM SIGHIT. Effective Epidemic Control via Strategic Vaccine Deployment: A Systematic Approach. Proceeding Health Informatics Symposium (IHI’10). 2010 Novermber; p. 91–99. Liu J, Xia S. ACM SIGHIT. Effective Epidemic Control via Strategic Vaccine Deployment: A Systematic Approach. Proceeding Health Informatics Symposium (IHI’10). 2010 Novermber; p. 91–99.
4.
Zurück zum Zitat Grassly NC, Fraser C. Mathematical Models of Infectious Disease Transmission. Nature Reviews Microbiology. 2008 Jun;6(6):477–487. Grassly NC, Fraser C. Mathematical Models of Infectious Disease Transmission. Nature Reviews Microbiology. 2008 Jun;6(6):477–487.
5.
Zurück zum Zitat Diekmann O, Heesterbeek JAP. Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation. Wiley; 2000. Diekmann O, Heesterbeek JAP. Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases: Model Building, Analysis and Interpretation. Wiley; 2000.
6.
Zurück zum Zitat Daley DJ, Gani JM. Epidemic Modelling: An Introduction. Cambridge University Press; 2000. Daley DJ, Gani JM. Epidemic Modelling: An Introduction. Cambridge University Press; 2000.
7.
Zurück zum Zitat Anderson RM, May RM. Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control. Oxford University Press; 1992. Anderson RM, May RM. Infectious Diseases of Humans: Dynamics and Control. Oxford University Press; 1992.
8.
Zurück zum Zitat Barrat A, Barthelemy M. Dynamical Processes on Complex Networks. Cambridge University Press; 2008. Barrat A, Barthelemy M. Dynamical Processes on Complex Networks. Cambridge University Press; 2008.
9.
Zurück zum Zitat Lloyd AL, May RM. How Viruses Spread Among Computers and People. Science. 2001;292(5520):1316–1317.CrossRef Lloyd AL, May RM. How Viruses Spread Among Computers and People. Science. 2001;292(5520):1316–1317.CrossRef
10.
Zurück zum Zitat Newman MEJ. The Spread of Epidemic Disease on Networks. Physical Review. 2002;66(1). Newman MEJ. The Spread of Epidemic Disease on Networks. Physical Review. 2002;66(1).
11.
Zurück zum Zitat Eubank S, Guclu H, Kumar VSA, Marathe MV, Srinivasan A, Toroczkai Z, et al. Modelling Disease Outbreaks in Realistic Urban Social Networks. Nature. 2004 May;429:180–184.CrossRef Eubank S, Guclu H, Kumar VSA, Marathe MV, Srinivasan A, Toroczkai Z, et al. Modelling Disease Outbreaks in Realistic Urban Social Networks. Nature. 2004 May;429:180–184.CrossRef
12.
Zurück zum Zitat Gao C, Liu J, Zhong N. Network Immunization with Distributed Autonomy-oriented Entities. IEEE Transactions on Parallel and Distributed Systems. 2010. Gao C, Liu J, Zhong N. Network Immunization with Distributed Autonomy-oriented Entities. IEEE Transactions on Parallel and Distributed Systems. 2010.
13.
Zurück zum Zitat Liu J, Gao C, Zhong N. Autonomy-Oriented Search in Dynamic Community Networks: A Case Study in Decentralized Network Immunization. Fundamenta Informaticae. 2010;99:207–226.MathSciNet Liu J, Gao C, Zhong N. Autonomy-Oriented Search in Dynamic Community Networks: A Case Study in Decentralized Network Immunization. Fundamenta Informaticae. 2010;99:207–226.MathSciNet
16.
Zurück zum Zitat Medlock J, Galvani AP. Optimizing Influenza Vaccine Distribution. Science. 2009 September;325(5948):1705–1708.CrossRef Medlock J, Galvani AP. Optimizing Influenza Vaccine Distribution. Science. 2009 September;325(5948):1705–1708.CrossRef
17.
Zurück zum Zitat Medlock J, Meyers LA, Galvani A. Optimizing Allocation for a Delayed Influenza Vaccination Campaign. PLoS Currents Influenza. 2009;1(RRN1134). Medlock J, Meyers LA, Galvani A. Optimizing Allocation for a Delayed Influenza Vaccination Campaign. PLoS Currents Influenza. 2009;1(RRN1134).
18.
Zurück zum Zitat Matrajt L, Longini IM. Optimizing Vaccine Allocation at Different Points in Time During an Epidemic. PLoS One. 2010;5(11):e13767.CrossRef Matrajt L, Longini IM. Optimizing Vaccine Allocation at Different Points in Time During an Epidemic. PLoS One. 2010;5(11):e13767.CrossRef
19.
Zurück zum Zitat Milne GJ, Kelso JK, Kelly HA, Huband ST, McVernon J. A Small Community Model for the Transmission of Infectious Diseases: Comparison of School Closure as an Intervention in Individual-Based Models of an Influenza Pandemic. PloS One. 2008;3(12):e4005.CrossRef Milne GJ, Kelso JK, Kelly HA, Huband ST, McVernon J. A Small Community Model for the Transmission of Infectious Diseases: Comparison of School Closure as an Intervention in Individual-Based Models of an Influenza Pandemic. PloS One. 2008;3(12):e4005.CrossRef
20.
Zurück zum Zitat Negri E, Colombo C, Giordano L, Groth N, Apolone G, Vecchia CL. The Efficacy of Influenza Vaccine for Healthy Children: a Meta-analysis Evaluating Potential Sources of Variation in Efficacy Estimates Including Study Quality. Vaccine. 2005;23:2851–2861.CrossRef Negri E, Colombo C, Giordano L, Groth N, Apolone G, Vecchia CL. The Efficacy of Influenza Vaccine for Healthy Children: a Meta-analysis Evaluating Potential Sources of Variation in Efficacy Estimates Including Study Quality. Vaccine. 2005;23:2851–2861.CrossRef
21.
Zurück zum Zitat Manzoli L, Schioppa F, Boccia A, Villari P. The Efficacy of Influenza Vaccine for Healthy Children: A Meta-Analysis Evaluating Potential Sources of Variation in Efficacy Estimates Including Study Quality. The Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal. 2007 February;26(2):97–106.CrossRef Manzoli L, Schioppa F, Boccia A, Villari P. The Efficacy of Influenza Vaccine for Healthy Children: A Meta-Analysis Evaluating Potential Sources of Variation in Efficacy Estimates Including Study Quality. The Pediatric Infectious Disease Journal. 2007 February;26(2):97–106.CrossRef
22.
Zurück zum Zitat Cauchemez S, Valleron AJ, Boelle PY, Flahault A, Ferguson NM. Estimating the Impact of School Closure on Influenza Transmission from Sentinel Data. Nature. 2008;452:750–754.CrossRef Cauchemez S, Valleron AJ, Boelle PY, Flahault A, Ferguson NM. Estimating the Impact of School Closure on Influenza Transmission from Sentinel Data. Nature. 2008;452:750–754.CrossRef
24.
Zurück zum Zitat Wu JT, Ma ESK, Lee CK, Chu DKW, Ho PL, Shen AL, et al. The Infection Attack Rate and Severity of 2009 Pandemic Influenza(H1N1) in Hong Kong. Clinical Infectious Diseases, IDSA. 2010;51(10):1184–1191.CrossRef Wu JT, Ma ESK, Lee CK, Chu DKW, Ho PL, Shen AL, et al. The Infection Attack Rate and Severity of 2009 Pandemic Influenza(H1N1) in Hong Kong. Clinical Infectious Diseases, IDSA. 2010;51(10):1184–1191.CrossRef
25.
Zurück zum Zitat Mossong J, Hens N, Jit M, Beutels P, Auranen K, Mikolajczyk R, et al. Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases. PLoS Medicine. 2008 March;5(3):e74.CrossRef Mossong J, Hens N, Jit M, Beutels P, Auranen K, Mikolajczyk R, et al. Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases. PLoS Medicine. 2008 March;5(3):e74.CrossRef
26.
Zurück zum Zitat Miller E, Hoschler K, Hardelid P, Stanford E, Andrews N, Zambon M. Incidence of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A H1N1 Infection in England: A Cross-sectional Serological Study. The Lancet. 2010 March;375(9720):1100–1108.CrossRef Miller E, Hoschler K, Hardelid P, Stanford E, Andrews N, Zambon M. Incidence of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A H1N1 Infection in England: A Cross-sectional Serological Study. The Lancet. 2010 March;375(9720):1100–1108.CrossRef
27.
Zurück zum Zitat Diekmann O, Heesterbeek JAP, Metz JAJ. On the Definition and The Computation of The Basic Reproduction Ratio Ro in Models for Infectious Diseases in heterogeneous populations. Journal of Mathematical Biology. 1990;28:365–382.CrossRefMATHMathSciNet Diekmann O, Heesterbeek JAP, Metz JAJ. On the Definition and The Computation of The Basic Reproduction Ratio Ro in Models for Infectious Diseases in heterogeneous populations. Journal of Mathematical Biology. 1990;28:365–382.CrossRefMATHMathSciNet
28.
Zurück zum Zitat P VDD, James W. Reproduction Numbers and Sub-threshold Endemic Equilibria for Compartmental Models of Disease Transmission. Mathematical Biosciences. 2002;180(1–2):29–48.MATHMathSciNet P VDD, James W. Reproduction Numbers and Sub-threshold Endemic Equilibria for Compartmental Models of Disease Transmission. Mathematical Biosciences. 2002;180(1–2):29–48.MATHMathSciNet
29.
Zurück zum Zitat Cowling BJ, Lau MS, Ho LM, Chuang SK, Tsang T, Liu SH, et al. The Effective Reproduction Number of Pandemic Influenza: Prospective Estimation. Epidemiology. 2010 November;21(6):842–846.CrossRef Cowling BJ, Lau MS, Ho LM, Chuang SK, Tsang T, Liu SH, et al. The Effective Reproduction Number of Pandemic Influenza: Prospective Estimation. Epidemiology. 2010 November;21(6):842–846.CrossRef
30.
Zurück zum Zitat Tuite AR, Greer AL, Whelan M, Winter AL, Lee B, Yan P, et al. Estimated Epidemiologic Parameters and Morbidity Associated With Pandemic H1N1 Influenza. Canadian Medical Association Journal (CMAJ). 2010;182(2):131–136.CrossRef Tuite AR, Greer AL, Whelan M, Winter AL, Lee B, Yan P, et al. Estimated Epidemiologic Parameters and Morbidity Associated With Pandemic H1N1 Influenza. Canadian Medical Association Journal (CMAJ). 2010;182(2):131–136.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Toward Effective Vaccine Deployment: A Systematic Study
verfasst von
Jiming Liu
Shang Xia
Publikationsdatum
01.10.2011
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Journal of Medical Systems / Ausgabe 5/2011
Print ISSN: 0148-5598
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-689X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10916-011-9734-x

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 5/2011

Journal of Medical Systems 5/2011 Zur Ausgabe