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Erschienen in: European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 5/2020

25.01.2020 | Original Article

18F-FDG PET/CT radiomic predictors of pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer patients

verfasst von: Panli Li, Xiuying Wang, Chongrui Xu, Cheng Liu, Chaojie Zheng, Michael J Fulham, Dagan Feng, Lisheng Wang, Shaoli Song, Gang Huang

Erschienen in: European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging | Ausgabe 5/2020

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Abstract

Purpose

Pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is commonly accepted as the gold standard to assess outcome after NAC in breast cancer patients. 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) has unique value in tumor staging, predicting prognosis, and evaluating treatment response. Our aim was to determine if we could identify radiomic predictors from PET/CT in breast cancer patient therapeutic efficacy prior to NAC.

Methods

This retrospective study included 100 breast cancer patients who received NAC; there were 2210 PET/CT radiomic features extracted. Unsupervised and supervised machine learning models were used to identify the prognostic radiomic predictors through the following: (1) selection of the significant (p < 0.05) imaging features from consensus clustering and the Wilcoxon signed-rank test; (2) selection of the most discriminative features via univariate random forest (Uni-RF) and the Pearson correlation matrix (PCM); and (3) determination of the most predictive features from a traversal feature selection (TFS) based on a multivariate random forest (RF). The prediction model was constructed with RF and then validated with 10-fold cross-validation for 30 times and then independently validated. The performance of the radiomic predictors was measured in terms of area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV).

Results

The PET/CT radiomic predictors achieved a prediction accuracy of 0.857 (AUC = 0.844) on the training split set and 0.767 (AUC = 0.722) on the independent validation set. When age was incorporated, the accuracy for the split set increased to 0.857 (AUC = 0.958) and 0.8 (AUC = 0.73) for the independent validation set and both outperformed the clinical prediction model. We also found a close association between the radiomic features, receptor expression, and tumor T stage.

Conclusion

Radiomic predictors from pre-treatment PET/CT scans when combined with patient age were able to predict pCR after NAC. We suggest that these data will be valuable for patient management.
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Metadaten
Titel
18F-FDG PET/CT radiomic predictors of pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer patients
verfasst von
Panli Li
Xiuying Wang
Chongrui Xu
Cheng Liu
Chaojie Zheng
Michael J Fulham
Dagan Feng
Lisheng Wang
Shaoli Song
Gang Huang
Publikationsdatum
25.01.2020
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Erschienen in
European Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging / Ausgabe 5/2020
Print ISSN: 1619-7070
Elektronische ISSN: 1619-7089
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-020-04684-3

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