Background
Methods
Results
1980 | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mortality rate | 95% CI | Mortality rate | 95% CI | Mortality rate | 95% CI | Mortality rate | 95% CI | |||||||||
Income per capita
| ||||||||||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 428.0 | 404.5 | 454.6 | 360.8 | 339.2 | 382.4 | 288.2 | 273.8 | - | 302.7 | 224.2 | 213.5 | - | 234.9 | ||
2nd tertile | 436.6 | 401.3 | - | 470.4 | 363.4 | 331.4 | - | 392.8 | 313.9 | 291.2 | - | 335.4 | 238.7 | 223.4 | - | 255.1 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 422.4 | 388.2 | - | 454.0 | 380.6 | 348.3 | - | 411.7 | 310.4 | 287.1 | - | 331.5 | 250.2 | 235.4 | - | 266.8 |
p value for trend | 0.740 | 0.208 | 0.042 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||
Population change
| ||||||||||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 451.9 | 430.8 | 472.9 | 400.9 | 382.7 | 419.1 | 312.8 | 297.3 | 328.3 | 233.3 | 221.6 | 245.1 | ||||
2nd tertile | 434.7 | 405.6 | - | 467.6 | 363.9 | 338.9 | - | 391.0 | 312.0 | 291.6 | - | 336.1 | 235.9 | 219.5 | - | 253.6 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 400.3 | 372.4 | - | 428.4 | 340.0 | 316.1 | - | 363.9 | 285.0 | 266.5 | - | 307.1 | 243.7 | 227.2 | - | 262.0 |
p value for trend | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.014 | 0.224 |
1980 | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MR | 95% CI | MR | 95% CI | MR | 95% CI | MR | 95% CI | |||||||||
CANCER
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Income per capita
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1st tertile (highest) | 119.6 | 112.3 | 126.9 | 125.4 | 118.1 | - | 132.8 | 116.6 | 111.3 | - | 121.9 | 102.4 | 95.5 | - | 107.3 | |
2nd tertile | 121.7 | 111.2 | - | 133.2 | 121.4 | 110.8 | - | 132.1 | 120.2 | 112.2 | - | 128.7 | 106.5 | 99.3 | - | 114.3 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 109.9 | 99.9 | - | 119.3 | 117.0 | 106.4 | - | 126.5 | 111.8 | 104.1 | - | 119.6 | 103.8 | 97.0 | - | 111.3 |
p value for trend | 0.075 | 0.114 | 0.298 | 0.706 | ||||||||||||
Population change
| ||||||||||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 124.4 | 117.6 | 131.3 | 128.5 | 121.6 | 135.5 | 115.1 | 109.7 | 120.5 | 101.8 | 96.9 | 106.7 | ||||
2nd tertile | 119.4 | 109.7 | - | 129.9 | 120.8 | 110.9 | - | 131.1 | 123.1 | 115.3 | - | 131.5 | 103.6 | 96.5 | - | 110.9 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 107.2 | 98.1 | - | 115.9 | 114.5 | 105.1 | - | 124.0 | 110.7 | 103.3 | - | 117.9 | 107.0 | 99.5 | - | 114.1 |
p value for trend | <0.001 | 0.007 | 0.277 | 0.139 | ||||||||||||
Cardiovascular disease
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Income per capita
| ||||||||||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 144.3 | 133.8 | - | 154.8 | 90.6 | 82.7 | - | 98.4 | 62.7 | 56.8 | - | 68.5 | 41.3 | 38.0 | - | 44.6 |
2nd tertile | 147.9 | 132.0 | - | 162.0 | 95.4 | 84.1 | - | 105.8 | 64.2 | 65.2 | - | 82.1 | 46.6 | 42.2 | - | 51.5 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 150.8 | 135.5 | - | 165.8 | 108.4 | 96.8 | - | 121.3 | 77.7 | 68.4 | - | 86.5 | 54.4 | 49.0 | - | 59.6 |
p value for trend | 0.388 | 0.003 | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||||||||||||
Population change
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1st tertile (highest) | 156.9 | 147.0 | 168.9 | 112.1 | 105.2 | 119.0 | 77.0 | 70.3 | 83.6 | 46.0 | 41.8 | - | 50.2 | |||
2nd tertile | 146.3 | 133.4 | - | 162.0 | 95.9 | 86.6 | - | 106.1 | 72.1 | 63.7 | - | 81.6 | 48.3 | 42.3 | - | 54.4 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 139.8 | 126.9 | - | 153.7 | 86.5 | 78.3 | - | 95.7 | 63.9 | 57.0 | - | 73.0 | 48.0 | 42.8 | - | 54.8 |
p value for trend | 0.019 | <0.001 | 0.007 | 0.503 | ||||||||||||
External causes
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Income per capita
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1st tertile (highest) | 41.2 | 37.3 | 45.0 | 42.9 | 39.1 | 46.7 | 33.7 | 30.8 | 36.7 | 32.2 | 28.8 | 35.5 | ||||
2nd tertile | 41.6 | 36.2 | - | 49.2 | 43.0 | 37.8 | - | 48.8 | 33.4 | 29.3 | - | 38.1 | 34.4 | 29.6 | - | 39.7 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 35.6 | 30.8 | - | 41.7 | 41.2 | 35.8 | - | 46.0 | 31.2 | 27.4 | - | 35.8 | 27.0 | 23.8 | - | 31.4 |
p value for trend | 0.044 | 0.525 | 0.286 | 0.047 | ||||||||||||
Population change
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1st tertile (highest) | 39.9 | 35.8 | 44.0 | 42.1 | 38.3 | 45.9 | 32.3 | 29.1 | 35.4 | 28.1 | 25.0 | 31.2 | ||||
2nd tertile | 38.5 | 33.2 | - | 45.9 | 42.6 | 37.4 | - | 48.5 | 31.3 | 27.6 | - | 35.9 | 28.6 | 24.9 | - | 32.9 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 39.9 | 34.1 | - | 46.9 | 42.3 | 36.7 | - | 47.4 | 35.1 | 30.7 | - | 39.9 | 36.6 | 31.8 | - | 41.8 |
p value for trend | 0.994 | 0.950 | 0.215 | 0.005 |
Tertiles of per capita income | 1980 | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MRR | 95% CI | MRR | 95% CI | MRR | 95% CI | MRR | 95% CI | |
Model 1 (adjusting for population density)
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1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.03 | 0.95-1.12 | 1.04 | 0.96-1.12 | 1.10 | 1.03-1.18 | 1.07 | 1.00-1.14 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 1.01 | 0.92-1.10 | 1.10 | 1.02-1.20 | 1.09 | 1.02-1.17 | 1.12 | 1.04-1.19 |
Model 2 (Model 1 plus population change)
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1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.05 | 0.97-1.13 | 1.05 | 0.98-1.13 | 1.10 | 1.03-1.18 | 1.06 | 0.98-1.13 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 1.07 | 0.98-1.17 | 1.10 | 1.02-1.18 | 1.09 | 1.02-1.16 | 1.12 | 1.05-1.20 |
Model 3 (Model 1 plus education
1
)
| ||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.03 | 0.95-1.12 | 1.04 | 0.95-1.13 | 1.07 | 1.00-1.15 | 1.07 | 1.00-1.14 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 1.00 | 0.91-1.10 | 1.07 | 0.96-1.19 | 1.04 | 0.96-1.12 | 1.08 | 1.01-1.16 |
Tertiles of per capita income | 1980 | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MRR | 95% CI | MRR | 95% CI | MRR | 95% CI | MRR | 95% CI | |
Cancer
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Model 1 (adjusting for population density)
| ||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.04 | 0.94-1.14 | 1.00 | 0.92-1.09 | 1.05 | 0.98-1.12 | 1.05 | 0.98-1.13 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 0.94 | 0.85-1.03 | 0.97 | 0.89-1.06 | 0.98 | 0.92-1.05 | 1.02 | 0.95-1.09 |
Model 2 (Model 1 plus population change)
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1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.06 | 0.96-1.16 | 1.01 | 0.93-1.09 | 1.05 | 0.99-1.11 | 1.04 | 0.96-1.12 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 0.99 | 0.90-1.10 | 0.96 | 0.88-1.05 | 0.98 | 0.92-1.04 | 1.02 | 0.95-1.10 |
Model 3 (Model 1 plus education
1
)
| ||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.05 | 0.96-1.15 | 1.01 | 0.92-1.10 | 1.05 | 0.98-1.12 | 1.05 | 0.97-1.13 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 0.96 | 0.87-1.06 | 0.98 | 0.87-1.10 | 0.98 | 0.90-1.06 | 1.01 | 0.94-1.09 |
Cardiovascular disease
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Model 1 (adjusting for population density)
| ||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.04 | 0.94-1.16 | 1.09 | 0.98-1.22 | 1.19 | 1.06-1.33 | 1.12 | 1.01-1.25 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 1.08 | 0.97-1.20 | 1.28 | 1.14-1.43 | 1.26 | 1.12-1.42 | 1.31 | 1.18-1.44 |
Model 2 (Model 1 plus population change)
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1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.05 | 0.95-1.16 | 1.12 | 1.03-1.22 | 1.19 | 1.07-1.32 | 1.12 | 1.00-1.24 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 1.15 | 1.03-1.29 | 1.27 | 1.16-1.38 | 1.25 | 1.12-1.39 | 1.32 | 1.20-1.46 |
Model 3 (Model 1 plus education
1
)
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1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 1.02 | 0.92-1.14 | 1.08 | 0.97-1.21 | 1.14 | 1.01-1.27 | 1.12 | 1.01-1.24 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 1.05 | 0.94-1.17 | 1.17 | 1.02-1.36 | 1.15 | 1.00-1.31 | 1.26 | 1.13-1.41 |
External causes
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Model 1 (adjusting for population density)
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1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 0.97 | 0.83-1.13 | 0.98 | 0.86-1.12 | 0.97 | 0.85-1.10 | 1.02 | 0.89-1.18 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 0.80 | 0.68-0.94 | 0.92 | 0.80-1.05 | 0.90 | 0.79-1.03 | 0.83 | 0.72-0.95 |
Model 2 (Model 1 plus population change)
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1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 0.95 | 0.81-1.11 | 0.98 | 0.86-1.13 | 0.97 | 0.85-1.10 | 0.95 | 0.84-1.09 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 0.78 | 0.66-0.93 | 0.92 | 0.80-1.06 | 0.90 | 0.79-1.03 | 0.83 | 0.73-0.94 |
Model 3 (Model 1 plus education
1
)
| ||||||||
1st tertile (highest) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||
2nd tertile | 0.98 | 0.83-1.14 | 0.95 | 0.83-1.09 | 0.94 | 0.82-1.07 | 1.02 | 0.88-1.18 |
3rd tertile (lowest) | 0.81 | 0.69-0.96 | 0.80 | 0.67-0.96 | 0.84 | 0.72-0.98 | 0.81 | 0.69-0.94 |