Population incidence for PTCH1 and SUFU related Gorlin syndrome
GS is suspected on phenotypic criteria and clinical diagnosis is established in a patient with two major diagnostic criteria and one minor diagnostic criterion or one major and three minor diagnostic criteria. (Table
1) [
1,
5]. This can be molecularly confirmed by genetic analysis of the
PTCH1,
PTCH2 and
SUFU genes. All features of GS except odontogenic keratocysts [
4,
6] can be present in
SUFU-related GS, but GS clinical features are less prominent in people with germline
SUFU PV and many will not meet GS criteria even in later life [
6]. Current testing in Manchester of patients meeting GS clinical criteria show that 134/193 (69.4%) patients have an identifiable germline
PTCH1 PV, 11/193 (5.7%) have an identifiable
SUFU PV and 48 (24.9%) have no identifiable PV in
SUFU, PTCH1 or
PTCH2. No PV of
PTCH2 has been identified in this series, thus this gene is probably rarely involved in GS pathogenesis and was therefore not taken into consideration in these recommendations. The estimated birth incidence of clinical GS is 1 in 14,963 [
7], suggesting that most of those with germline
PTCH1 PVs (estimated frequency 1 in 3356-gnomAD;
https://gnomad.broadinstitute.org/) may never reach a clinical diagnosis. As the clinical signs of GS are even less prominent in patients with germline
SUFU variant, a large number of
SUFU PV carriers probably remain undiagnosed.
Tumor risk
Most patients with GS develop several benign and malignant tumors, most often at a young age. There are some differences in the clinical features and incidence of tumor occurrence depending on the gene involved (Table
2). Even though it is dominated by BCC and keratocystic odontogenic tumors, the spectrum of tumors associated with GS is large. Ovarian fibromas, meningiomas and medulloblastomas appear to be more frequent in patients with constitutional pathogenic
SUFU variants than
PTCH1 variants [
4].
Table 2
Tumor risk in GS patients: main series from the literature
Number of patients | 118 | 105 | 157 | 182 |
Variant identified | | | | PTCH 126 | SUFU 9 | None 47 |
Median age at last follow-up | 35 | 34.5 | 33.1 | 45 | 42 | 47 |
BCC* | 90 (75%) | 71 (80%) | 56 (37.8%) | 61 (48%) | 4 (44%) | 21 (45%) |
KCOT | 85/113 (75%) | 78 (81%) | 136 (86%) | 79 (47%) | 0 (0%) | 16 (31%) |
Medulloblastoma | 1 (0.8%) | 4 (4%) | 4/120 (3%) | 3 (2%) | 3 (33%) | 0 |
Meningioma | 1 (0.8%) | 2/42 (5%) | | 0 | 2 (22%) | 2 (1.6%) |
Ovarian fibroma | 9/63 (14%) | 9/52 (17%) | 5/40 (12%) | 4 (6%) | 3 (43%) | 4 (15%) |
Cardiac fibroma | | | 2/95 (2%) | 2 (1%) | 0 | 0 |
Analysis of the risk of each tumor type according to the genotype is still preliminary due to the rarity of this syndrome and bias of ascertainment, since most patients belonging to Gorlin cohorts have been identified after the occurrence of multiple odontogenic keratocysts or BCCs, whereas most SUFU variants described so far were identified in young children with medulloblastoma.
Basal cell carcinoma (BCC)
GS is characterized by multiple BCCs with a median age-at-onset of the first BCC of 33y (95% CI 28–37) [
8]. In a large series from Manchester of 202 patients with Gorlin syndrome, the cumulative incidence of BCC was 13% in males and 12% in females by age 20, 76,5% in females and 80% in males by age 50 [
8]. The risk of BCC seems to be lower in African Americans and in Japanese than in Caucasian patients from America or Europe [
9,
10]. The risk of BCC seems to be greatly increased by irradiation [
9]. There is some evidence for modifier genes especially the ‘red hair’
MC1R variant polymorphism [
11] which supports some familial clustering of features beyond the
PTCH1 variant.
The risk of BCC in adult patients with germline
SUFU mutations has not been estimated yet. Several
SUFU PV carriers identified in GS cohorts have been diagnosed with multiple BCC [
12‐
15], but most
SUFU PVs were identified in infants treated for a medulloblastoma who were young at the time of clinical report and therefore their risk of BCC in adulthood cannot be assessed. In their relatives, the risk of BCC in adults is much lower than in classical GS related to
PTCH1 PVs [
6] suggesting that the risk of BCC in
SUFU PV carriers is much lower than in
PTCH1 PV carriers. Indeed, in a series of 22
SUFU PV carriers ascertained through a medulloblastoma, only one among 34 relatives (median age at last follow-up 51.3 years) carrying a
SUFU PV had been diagnosed with a BCC [
6].
Medulloblastomas
Medulloblastoma with desmoplastic or extensive nodularity histology is the main GS-associated pediatric malignant tumor. Most tumors described so far occurred before the age of 3 years. In addition, in the context of
SUFU PVs, families with several children affected by medulloblastomas have been described [
6,
16]. In a large series of medulloblastomas screened for germline mutations, all
SUFU or
PTCH1 PVs were observed exclusively in the SHH-medulloblastoma (SHH-MB) subgroup, with a frequency of 17/80 (21%) and 18/170 (11%) in infant and pediatric SHH MB, respectively [
17].
There are currently no direct estimates of the incidence of
SUFU and
PTCH1 PV carriers in the general population and no unbiased estimates of the risk of childhood medulloblastoma for each condition. The great majority of testing of
SUFU is for childhood medulloblastoma and only limited testing has been carried out to identify healthy carriers in those families [
17‐
19]. In the largest study thus far, Waszak et al. in 2018 [
17], found a germline
SUFU or
PTCH1 PV in 20/1022 (2%) patients with medulloblastoma (9
PTCH1, 11 SUFU). However, just over 200 of the Waszak series were over 18 years of age (Table
3), thus 11/800 (1.4%) of childhood medulloblastoma had a
SUFU PV and 9/800 (1.1%) had a
PTCH1 PV. Brugieres et al. in 2012 found a much higher incidence of
SUFU PVs, 8/131 (6.1%), [
18] whereas Wang et al. found only one PV each for
SUFU and
PTCH1 in their series of 129 medulloblastomas (0.8%) [
19]. These differences may be related to the distribution of age-at-diagnosis and histological subtypes in the different series. Taking combined data from the three series 20/1060 (1.9%) had a
SUFU PV and 10/929 (1.1%) had a
PTCH1 PV.
Table 3
Studies estimating the proportion of childhood medulloblastoma caused by SUFU or PTCH1 germline variants
| 131 | 8 (6.1%) | |
Waszak childhood only [ 1] | 800 | 11 (1.3%) | 9 (1.1%) |
| 129 | 1 (0.7%) | 1 (0.7%) |
Total | 1060 | 20 (1.8%) | 10 (0.9%) |
A direct estimate of medulloblastoma risk in childhood can be derived from a population-based study in the Manchester region of NW England from 1954 to 1989. In 36 years of assessment, 173 childhood medulloblastomas were registered in the Manchester Childhood tumors registry [
20]. This gives an annual incidence of 4.8 in an average childhood population of 800,000 or 0.6/100,000 in the Manchester region of NW England. The childhood risk of medulloblastoma would therefore be 16 (16 years of childhood risk) × 0.6 per 100,000 = 9.6 per 100,000 or 1 in 10,400. Three patients of that series of 173 (1.73%) have subsequently been found to have a germline
SUFU PV with two probable
PTCH1 PVs (1.15%) [
13,
21]. As such, the likelihood of a childhood
SUFU related medulloblastoma is 9.6 × 0.0173 = 0.166 per 100,000 or 1 in 601,400. The population frequency of
SUFU PVs can be estimated from gnomAD (
https://gnomad.broadinstitute.org/). Only three clearly pathogenic variants (excluding truncating variants in the last exon) were found in an average population sample of 124,185 people (1 in 41,395), although one was African and the other Finnish. Therefore the population estimate for European (non-Finnish) was 1 in 55,400. Taking these two estimates together, this would mean an estimated penetrance for medulloblastoma associated with a
SUFU variant of 7–9.2%. Likewise, the estimate for medulloblastoma associated with
PTCH1 from gnomAD was 1 in 3356, giving an estimated penetrance of 0.37%. These estimates are about 1/3rd of those from estimated risks in Gorlin syndrome families [
13]. An alternative indirect estimate based on an aggregate of around 2% for
SUFU PVs in childhood medulloblastoma and 1% for
PTCH1 PVs from Table
3 is shown in Table
4. This generates almost identical estimates for each gene.
Table 4
Alternative estimate of SUFU and PTCH1 based on indirect estimates from UK population incidence
Children in UK (0–16 years) | 11,759,000 |
Annual brain tumour incidence in children | 400 |
Incidence annual (1 in x) | 29,397.5 |
Incidence during childhood (1 in x) | 1837.3 |
Medulloblastoma in childhood 20% (1 in x) | 9186.72 |
Medulloblastoma with germline SUFU PV (1 in x)a | 45,9335.94 |
% SUFU PV with medulloblastoma | 9.01% |
Medulloblastoma with germline PTCH1 PV (1 in x) | 91,8671.9 |
% PTCH PV with medulloblastoma | 0.37% |
Considering the high incidence of
PTCH1 and
SUFU PVs in medulloblastomas, and in particular SHH-MBs in young children, experts recommend a germline
PTCH1 and
SUFU PVs screening for all children with SHH-MB, especially those diagnosed before the age of 5. The identification of a predisposition syndrome for medulloblastoma caused by a germline PV in
SUFU or
PTCH1 gene is fundamental, because the presence of an underlying genetic anomaly can have an impact on the therapeutic management, due to the different behavior of
SUFU or
PTCH1-related medulloblastomas, including differences in their responses to SHH inhibitors [
22]. The best therapeutic strategy for this group of patients still has to be assessed. In addition, identifying
SUFU PVs in these young patients may have a major impact on familial genetic counseling and surveillance of young relatives carrying the PV, especially siblings [
16].
Meningiomas
Meningiomas have been reported in 0.8–5% of people in large series’ of GS [
4,
9,
23,
24]. Meningiomas are probably more frequent in
SUFU related GS than in
PTCH1 related GS. Indeed, in the Manchester cohort, the incidence of meningiomas was much higher in
SUFU PV carriers (4/9) than in patients with a
PTCH1 PV (2/126). Meningiomas have also been described, mostly as case reports, in patients with
SUFU variants, either as the first brain tumor [
12,
14,
25] or, more frequently, after irradiation for a medulloblastoma [
6,
13,
26,
27]. Most de novo meningiomas described so far occurred after the age of 40, whereas they occurred earlier in patients previously treated for a medulloblastoma. In addition, two multigenerational families with meningiomas as the major feature in multiple affected family members have been associated with an inherited germline
SUFU variant [
12,
25].
Ovarian fibromas or fibrothecomas
Ovarian fibromas or fibrothecomas are benign sex-cord stromal tumors which have been described in 6–43% of female patients with GS. They are usually revealed by abdominal discomfort due to compression of adjacent organs when they become large or by acute pain due to adnexal torsion. Their incidence is probably underestimated, since most tumors are asymptomatic. With systematic screening by pelvic ultrasound, they have been detected in 9/52 (17%) females with de GS in the NIH cohort [
9] and 10% in the Manchester cohort [
4]. The main characteristics of GS-associated ovarian fibroma are their bilaterality and the presence of calcification. Most sporadic tumors are diagnosed in adults, but ovarian fibroma has been described in prepubertal girls in GS [
28,
29]. Data from the Manchester cohort suggest that ovarian fibroma could be more frequent in
SUFU PV female carriers (3/7) than in
PTCH1 related GS (4/68) or in patients in whom no PV was identified (4/27). Early diagnosis is important to allow detection of small tumors, resectable by minimal-access surgery.