Background
Methods
Statistical analysis
Mortality data
Time series analysis and forecasting
Joinpoint analysis
Internal validation
Sensitivity analysis
Results
Lung cancer
East | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Men | ||||
Slope 1 | Slope 2 | Slope 3 | ||
Lung | Year | 1990–1993 | 1993–2009 | 2009–2014 |
Estimate | 4.4 [0.7, 8.2] | −2.7 [−3.0, −2.4] | −1.1 [−2.6, 0.5] | |
Prostate | Year | 1990–1993 | 1993–2014 | - |
Estimate | 11.8 [5.0, 19.0] | −1.5 [−1.8, −1.2] | - | |
Colon/Rectum | Year | 1990–1992 | 1992–1997 | 1997–2014 |
Estimate | 10.9 [3.7–18.5] | −0.9 [−2.9, 1.3] | −2.3 [−2.5, −2.1] | |
Women | ||||
Lung | Year | 1990–2014 | - | - |
Estimate | 2.2 [2.0–2.4] | - | - | |
Breast | Year | 1990–1992 | 1992–2007 | 2007–2014 |
Estimate | 4.7 [−3.0, 13.1] | −2.4 [−2.7, −2.0] | 0.4 [−0.6, 1.5] | |
Colon/Rectum | Year | 1990–1993 | 1993–2008 | 2008–2014 |
Estimate | 4.2 [−0.1, 8.7] | −3.8 [−4.1, −3.4] | −2.0 [−3.3, −0.6] |
West | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Men | |||||
Slope 1 | Slope 2 | Slope 3 | Slope 4 | ||
Lung | Year | 1980–1991 | 1991–2009 | 2009–2014 | - |
Estimate | 0.0 [−0.2, 0.2] | −2.1 [−2.2, −2.1] | −1.2 [−1.7, −0.6] | - | |
Prostate | Year | 1980–1995 | 1995–2006 | 2006–2014 | - |
Estimate | 0.7 [0.5, 1.0] | −3.4 [−3.9, −3.0] | −0.6 [−1.2, −0.0] | - | |
Colon/Rectum | Year | 1980–1995 | 1995–2014 | - | - |
Estimate | −0.2 [−0.4, −0.0] | −2.6 [−2.7, −2.4] | - | - | |
Women | |||||
Lung | Year | 1980–1991 | 1991–2014 | - | - |
Estimate | 4.0 [3.7, 4.3] | 2.8 [2.7, 2.9] | - | - | |
Breast | Year | 1980–1987 | 1987–1996 | 1996–1999 | 1999–2014 |
Estimate | 1.5 [0.9, 2.0] | −0.2 [−0.7, 0.3] | −3.4 [−7.4, 0.8] | −1.6 [−1.8, −1.4] | |
Colon/Rectum | Year | 1980–1993 | 1993–2014 | - | - |
Estimate | −0.8 [−1.0, −0.6] | −3.1 [−3.2, −3.0] | - | - |
Men | |||
Slope 1 | Slope 2 | ||
Lung | Year | 1990–1993 | 1993–2014 |
Estimate | 5.6 [2.3, 9.0] | −0.4 [−0.6, −0.3] | |
Prostate | Year | 1990–1992 | 1992–2014 |
Estimate | 17.5 [3.0, 34.0] | 1.0 [0.7, 1.3] | |
Colon/Rectum | Year | 1990–1992 | 1992–2014 |
Estimate | 10.8 [4.3, 17.6] | 0.3 [0.2, 0.5] | |
Women | |||
Lung | Year | 1990–2014 | - |
Estimate | −0.6 [−0.8, −0.4] | - | |
Breast | Year | 1990–1996 | 1996–2014 |
Estimate | −0.4 [−0.9, −0.0] | 1.5 [0.2, 2.8] | |
Colon/Rectum | Year | 1990–1992 | 1992–2014 |
Estimate | 6.2 [−4.3, 17.8] | −0.3 [−0.5, −0.0] |