TIMP-2/IGFBP7 predicts acute kidney injury in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors

Acute kidney injury (AKI) has been identified as an independent risk factor for morbidity and mortality in patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Mechanisms that contribute to the development of AKI are not yet fully understood. There is some evidence that AKI is influenced by post-resuscitation disease and may not just be a consequence of cardiac arrest and time without spontaneous circulation [ 1]. The post-resuscitation disease is multifactorial and in addition to myocardial dysfunction it may include systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) mediated by cytokine release and expression of inducible nitric oxide synthase (NOS) among others [ 2, 3]. Excessive NOS results in high levels of nitric oxide, which may lead to inappropriate systemic vasodilatation, progressive systemic and coronary hypoperfusion, and myocardial depression [ 2, 4]. Furthermore, patients are likely to undergo diagnostic or therapeutic procedures like percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or computed tomography angiography (CTA) after OHCA, thus imposing an additional risk of AKI associated with the exposure to contrast agents.

Tujjar et al. reported a 43% incidence of AKI (defined as a daily urine output < 0.5 ml/kg/h and/or an increase in serum creatinine ≥ 0.3 mg/dl from admission value within 48 h or a 1.5-fold increase from baseline level) in patients with cardiac arrest [ 5]. Other studies observed an incidence of AKI after cardiac arrest ranging widely from 10 to 50% [ 6– 10]. However, current diagnostic criteria, such as serum creatinine levels or oliguria have limited predictive value and appear late in the course of AKI. Novel diagnostic tools and biomarkers are urgently needed to allow for timely identification and stratification of patients at risk. Investigating this population for the mechanisms of AKI will aid the identification of drug targets and monitoring of their effectiveness in clinical trials.

Recently Kashani et al. reported the validation of two novel urinary biomarkers for AKI in critically ill patients [ 11]. Tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases-2 (TIMP-2) and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 7 (IGFBP7) are both G1 cell cycle arrest biomarkers, which are elevated in cases of stress or damage of the renal tubular cells. Combined urinary TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 have been shown to perform better than other known biomarkers for risk stratification in AKI in a heterogeneous group of critically ill patients. Risk of death, dialysis, or persistent renal dysfunction was significantly higher for [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] above 0.30 [ 11]. Bihorac and co-workers assessed the predictive cut-off values of [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] in a multi-centre trial of more than 400 critically ill patients. In this general ICU setting, [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] > 0.30 indicated a sevenfold increase in the risk of AKI. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.82 for the development of AKI [ 12]. Similar results were found in a study of patients who had undergone cardiac surgery for cardiopulmonary bypass. For urine [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7], the area under the ROC curve was 0.81 at 4 h after surgery [ 13].

Patients with non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) admitted to the cardiac ICU of the University Hospital of Cologne between May 2014 and January 2016 were consecutively enrolled. Adults (≥ 18 years) who met the inclusion criteria (OHCA, return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) ≤ 8 and non-traumatic shock) were included. Pregnant patients and patients with chronic renal replacement therapy were excluded from the study. Patients who died within 24 h after admission or received extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) therapy were also excluded from further analysis.

AKI was classified according to the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines during the patient’s hospital stay [ 14]. On this basis, patients with an increase in serum creatinine or reduced urine secretion were categorized into AKI stages 1–3. For statistical analyses, patients with AKI stages 1–3 were defined as the “AKI group”. Renal function was continuously monitored by determination of urinary secretion and serum creatinine. Patients with a previous medical history of any chronic kidney disease (CKD) and patients presenting with elevated serum creatinine (> 1.2 mg/dl) were defined as patients with “advanced renal disease”. The individual reference value for serum creatinine was obtained whenever possible from the family physician. Otherwise, the lowest serum creatinine value from the hospital stay was used [ 15]. Cardiac arrest was defined as apnoea or agonal respiration in a comatose patient receiving cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Time to ROSC was calculated from the time of determination of collapse to ROSC.

All patients with myocardial ischaemia as the suspected cause of cardiac arrest were transferred to the catheter laboratory for coronary angiography and revascularization when indicated prior to admission to the ICU. The diagnosis of myocardial infarction was adjudicated after angiographic confirmation of coronary artery occlusion. Patients with septic shock underwent further diagnostic evaluation, with x-ray, ultrasound or computer tomography applied for identification of the septic focus. Criteria for septic and cardiogenic shock were adopted from the current sepsis guidelines and the modified version from the SHOCK-trial [ 16, 17]. Patients were treated with target treatment management (TTM) for 24 h according to our standard operating procedure (SOP). Peripheral cooling with ice packs to the femoral and/or neck area was initiated in patients with OHCA by the first responding emergency medical service. The controlled cooling to a target temperature of 32–34 °C was continued in the ICU using an endovascular cooling device (Thermogard XP® catheter, Zoll Medical Corp., Chelmsford, MA, USA) and maintained for 24 h. TTM was terminated by rewarming through the same endovascular device at a controlled rate of 0.3 °C/h until the physiologic body temperature of 36.5 °C was reached.

All patients received standard intensive care treatment according to current recommendations. Patients were intubated and mechanically ventilated and received midazolam for sedation and sufentanil for analgesia aiming at a Richmond agitation and sedation score (RASS) of − 4 until rewarming and haemodynamic stabilisation. Medical treatment with vasopressors (norepinephrine or in individual cases also epinephrine) and inotropes (dobutamine) was used when indicated, to achieve a target mean arterial blood pressure ≥ 65 mmHg. Heart rate, pulse oximetry, invasive blood pressure and central venous pressure were monitored routinely. Core temperature was continuously registered in the bladder through a thermal sensor at the tip of a transurethral urinary catheter. In all patients with shock continuous ICU monitoring was complemented by transpulmonary thermodilution and arterial pulse contour analysis by the use of the VolumeView® set (Edwards Lifesciences, CA, USA). The VolumeView® system was routinely calibrated by thermodilution with 20 ml ice cold saline every 6 h. A minimum of three consecutive measurements was obtained and a difference of < 10% between the measurements was accepted for data collection. Crystalloid solution was used for fluid therapy. The individual body weight was obtained whenever possible from the family members, otherwise body weight was estimated.

Neurological outcome was registered in all patients one month after CPR based on the Glasgow-Pittsburgh cerebral performance categories (CPC) of the Utstein recommendations [ 18]. For analyses, neurologic outcome was dichotomized into favourable (CPC 1–2) and poor (CPC 3–5).

In the present investigation 65% of patients with shock developed AKI on average 26 h after OHCA. We found that the novel cell cycle arrest biomarkers TIMP-2 and IGFBP7 have 94% specificity for the prediction of AKI in this high-risk population as early as 3 h after determination of OHCA. Detection of imminent AKI at this early time point could implicate measures for renal protection, such as avoidance of nephrotoxic agents or optimization of fluid management.

We further propose a new [TIMP-2]*[IGFBP7] cut-off value of 0.24 with the highest predictive value for patients under conditions that are currently considered the standard of care in patients after OHCA. The Sapphire study found that the risk of major adverse kidney events (death, dialysis or persistent renal dysfunction) within 30 days rose sharply with [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] > 0.3 [ 11]. The validation of the pre-specified cut-off values was first performed in a heterogeneous patient group not undergoing TTM [ 12, 19]. Later, Beitland et al. reported an incidence of AKI of 45% in patients treated with TTM after OHCA and described a urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] level ≥ 0.36 as an independent risk marker for AKI. However, in this study urine samples were collected in a large time frame between 0 and 6 h following admission and on day 3 after OHCA; body temperature at the time of measurement was not documented [ 9]. Since secretion and metabolism are time and temperature dependent, we could determine the high predictive value of [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] at the lower cut-off value of 0.24 under precisely defined conditions 3 h after determination of OHCA at 34 °C.

In our study population pre-existing conditions did not affect the development of AKI. However, AKI was observed more frequently in patients with longer time from determination of collapse to ROSC and correlated with the total amount of adrenaline used during resuscitation. These findings are in line with previous reports which showed that the interval between collapse and ROSC and also the amount of epinephrine during CPR had an impact on the subsequent development of AKI [ 1, 5, 20].

In the present study the incidence of AKI was appreciably higher than in previous CA studies [ 7– 9]. More than two thirds of patients with OHCA (65%) developed AKI. Nearly 90% of the enrolled patients had coronary heart disease. As expected, myocardial infarction was the most common cause of CA. There is good evidence that renal and cardiac function interact in critically ill patients. Other studies have successfully demonstrated that coronary artery disease and chronic heart failure are both independent risk factors for AKI after CA [ 7, 8]. Tujjar et al. reported a 43% incidence of AKI in patients with CA [ 5]. The presence of shock was thereby an independent predictor for the development of AKI. On the same lines, a recent meta-analysis of eight studies with nearly 1700 patients found that the presence of shock after resuscitation was the most consistent independent predictor of AKI [ 6]. All patients included in our investigation were admitted to the ICU in shock with the typical clinical signs of end-organ hypoperfusion and the need of vasopressors for circulatory support. The initial treatment of patients with shock focuses on rapid haemodynamic stabilisation with vasopressors and inotropes and volume replacement to ensure adequate organ perfusion. Norepinephrine is the vasopressor of choice to ensure haemodynamic stability in patients with cardiogenic or septic shock [ 2, 17]. We identified lower MAP within the first 18 h of treatment in patients with AKI. As expected, these patients required greater norepinephrine doses to reach target MAP. This finding is in line with several studies correlating vasopressor doses and hypotensive episodes with progression of AKI [ 5, 21].

In addition, volume therapy could have a decisive impact on the development of AKI. Hypovolaemia is an important risk factor for AKI and must be identified and treated early to preserve renal function. Nevertheless, fluid overload should be avoided because there is growing evidence that a positive fluid balance is associated with worse outcomes. Teixeira et al. analysed data on 601 patients admitted to 10 intensive care units in Italy. This study showed that a mean fluid balance > 1,3 L/day, calculated as the difference between fluid intake and fluid output, was associated with increased 28-day mortality in patients with AKI [ 22]. Tujjar and co-workers also found an association between high fluid balance at 48 h and AKI in patients with cardiac arrest [ 5]. In daily clinical practice, the assessment of the current volume status in critically ill patients represents a challenge. In contrast to traditional volume parameters like central venous pressure (CVP), haemodynamic parameters derived from transpulmonary thermodilution like global end-diastolic volume index (GEDI) or extravascular lung water (ELWI) have proven to be more reliable in the assessment of the volume status of a patient [ 10, 23– 25]. Therefore, individual fluid management guided by means of invasive haemodynamic monitoring is part of our treatment algorithm for patients presenting with shock. However, we found no correlation between the administered amount of fluid and the incidence of AKI within the first 48 h after CA.

The KDIGO guidelines for AKI recommend different measures like volume management, haemodynamic stabilisation and avoidance or adaptation of nephrotoxic medications to prevent the development or reduce the impact of AKI [ 14]. Early identification of AKI could allow for more expedited induction of therapeutic measures. Meersch and co-workers examined the relationship between the measurement of [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] in combination with implementation of a “KDIGO bundle” in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. In this study, high-risk patients defined as having urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] > 0.3 after cardiopulmonary bypass disconnection received a special therapy bundle in accordance with the KDIGO guidelines. These therapeutic measures reduced the frequency and severity of AKI in patients undergoing cardiac surgery, compared with standard care (55% vs. 72%; p = 0.004) [ 26]. It is currently unclear whether - and if so, to what extent - these study results are transferable to our patient collective. Our study proves the diagnostic utility of urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] in a diverse patient population after a defined initial event of kidney injury and standardized ICU management. Urinary [TIMP-2]·[IGFBP7] identifies patients at risk of AKI as early as 3 h after OHCA. These patients need to be included in randomized clinical studies to evaluate targeted therapeutic strategies and interventions.

In comatose survivors of OHCA it can be difficult to assess previous renal function, thus it may not have been possible to reliably distinguish between AKI and AKI in CKD in each case. Time to ROSC and also time to urine sampling was calculated from determination of collapse to ROSC. Therefore, in patients presenting with unwitnessed arrest the exact time between collapse and ROSC may be imprecise. Our study represents the results from a prospective single-centre trial with a small sample size. This could possibly explain in part why the incidence of AKI was appreciably higher than in other CA studies. In addition, AKI was consistently classified according to the KDIGO guidelines. Other studies have used different definitions of AKI [ 27] or assessed only the first days of the hospital stay [ 9]. Another limitation may be the heterogeneity of the study population, which comprised patients in cardiogenic as well as septic shock. Therefore, our results require confirmation in a larger patient population. Finally, a previously published study protocol is not available.

The presented data clearly show that measurement of [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] can be used to identify patients at high risk of AKI among patients with shock after OHCA. These biomarkers have good diagnostic performance for the early recognition of AKI as early as 3 h after determination of OHCA. Under conditions that are currently considered as standard care in patients who have sustained OHCA, [TIMP-2]•[IGFBP7] accurately predicts AKI with a cut-off of 0.24.