Increased lateral femoral condyle ratio measured by MRI is associated with higher risk of noncontact anterior cruciate ligament injury

The rate of noncontact anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury has increased substantially among athletes [1]. An increasing number of scholars have begun to pay close attention to targeted prevention and treatment, and early assessment and identification of ACL injury risk factors are necessary to reduce the incidence of this kind of injury and to avoid long-term damage caused by knee joint instability, resulting in cartilage wear and early knee joint osteoarthritis [2].

With the deepening of the understanding of anatomical factors affecting ACL injury, the study of bone morphometry of the tibia and femur has received extensive attention. Medial tibial compartment depression [3] and posterior tibial plateau tilt [4, 5] are associated with increased ACL load and risk of injury. The asymmetry of the medial and lateral compartments with medial tibial concavity and lateral convexity, as well as asymmetry of the distal femoral condylar shape, contribute to the pivoting mechanism [6, 7]. Thus, axial movement occurs, further causing ACL injury [8].

The bony morphology of the lateral femoral compartment is currently of considerable interest because it may play an important role in the phenomenon of pivot shift [9‐11]. Studies have suggested that LFCR measured by X-ray plays a role in predicting noncontact ACL injury of the knee joint [12]. Whether LFCR measured by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a risk factor for noncontact ACL injury is unclear. The main purpose of this study was to evaluate the shape of the lateral femoral compartment by MRI and investigate its impact on the risk of noncontact ACL injury. The secondary objective was to evaluate the most predictive risk factor for noncontact ACL injury by comparing LFCR with existing bone morphological risk factors. Our hypothesis was that LFCR, as measured by MRI, was associated with higher risk of noncontact ACL injury.

A total of 116 patients were included in the final analysis (58 in the noncontact ACL injury group and 58 in the control group). Each group consisted of 20 females and 38 males, with an average age of 31.05 ± 9.28 years in the noncontact ACL injury group and 30.76 ± 9.38 years in the control group. The intraobserver reliability for LFCR was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.80-0.90), and the interobserver reliability for LFCR was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.79-0.90). The intraobserver reliability for LTS was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.77-0.88), and the interobserver reliability for LTS was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.78-0.90). The intraobserver reliability for LTH was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.82-0.91), and the interobserver reliability for LTH was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.77-0.89). The intraobserver reliability for MTS was 0.89 (95% CI, 0.84-0.92), and the interobserver reliability for MTS was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.85-0.93). The intraobserver reliability for MTD was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.78-0.89), and the interobserver reliability for MTD was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.72-0.88).

LFCR in the noncontact ACL injury group (0.64 ± 0.03) was significantly higher than that in the control group (0.60 ± 0.02) (P < 0.01). The LTS, LTH, MTS and MTD in the noncontact ACL injury group were higher than those in the control group (Wilcoxon rank sum tests were used for comparisons of LFCR, LTS, LTH and MTD, and paired T tests were used for comparison of MTS) (Table 1).

Sex differences in LFCR between the noncontact ACL injury group and the control group were not statistically significant. The mean LFCR was 0.64 ± 0.03 in males and 0.63 ± 0.03 in females in the noncontact ACL injury group. In the control group, the mean LFCR was 0.60 ± 0.02 in males and 0.60 ± 0.03 in females.

Single-factor logistic regression analysis was performed to screen potential risk factors, and LFCR (P < 0.01), LTS (P = 0.02), LTH (P < 0.01), MTS (P = 0.03), and MTD (P = 0.05) were included in the logistic regression equation. Independent risk factors associated with an increased risk of noncontact ACL injury were identified as LFCR (OR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.35-2.10) (P < 0.01) and LTH (OR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.28-5.46) (P < 0.01) (Table 2).

LFCR and LTH were screened as independent risk factors for noncontact ACL injury, and the prediction probability of the combined LFCR and LTH was calculated according to logistic regression analysis. ROC analysis showed that all the risk factors exhibited significant accuracy in identifying noncontact ACL injuries (LFCR, LTH, and LFCR+LTH, P < 0.01). The AUC for LFCR was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.88), and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.79 and 0.67, respectively. The maximum of the Youden index (0.47) was calculated to obtain the cut-off value (0.61) of LFCR in the diagnosis process. The AUC for LTH was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.60-0.79), and the sensitivity, specificity and cut-off values for predicting noncontact ACL injury were 0.74, 0.57, and 2.35 mm, respectively (Youden index = 0.31). Of all the risk factors, LFCR+LTH had the highest AUC (0.85; 95% CI, 0.78-0.92), the best specificity (0.83) for noncontact ACL injury, and the highest sensitivity (0.76) for noncontact ACL injury. However, the AUC for LFCR+LTH was not significantly different from that of LFCR alone (P = 0.11) (Table 3 and Fig. 4).

The current study found that an increased LFCR, as measured by MRI, was associated with an increased risk of noncontact ACL injury. The LFCR threshold for predicting noncontact ACL rupture was 0.61, with a sensitivity of 0.79 and specificity of 0.67, which confirmed the hypothesis of the study. Combining the two most predictive factors (LFCR> 0.61 and LTH > 2.35 mm) improved the predictive diagnostic performance for noncontact ACL injury. The AUC was 0.85, sensitivity was 0.83, and specificity was 0.76. These parameters can help clinicians identify patients at risk for ACL injury.

Many studies have shown that the shape of the lateral femoral condyle exerts an important influence on the rotational stability of the knee [9, 14]. Pfeiffer reported that the mechanism of the influence of lateral femoral condyle shape on knee rotation stability was an increase in the depth of the lateral femoral posterior condyle, which may affect the movement of the femur in relation to the tibia and lead to changes in gait and load mechanics [8]. The increase in the depth of the lateral posterior condyle of the femur alters the shape of the lateral condyle of the femur to be more elliptical and not equidistant, which may lead to an increase in ligament relaxation when the knee joint is nearly fully extended [8]. It may also lead to a reduction in the contact area between the femur and tibia, thereby increasing rotational relaxation of the knee [8]. The results of this study are consistent with the aforementioned results.

A steeper tibial slope was significantly correlated with an increase in axial displacement [15‐17] and with the risk of ACL injury [15‐17]. Interestingly, in this study, only a significant increase in tibial slope was found in the noncontact ACL injury group compared to the control group. However, there have also been literature reports that found no association between steeper tibial slopes and a higher risk of ACL injury [18, 19].

In this study, we found that the combination of the two factors (LFCR> 0.61, LTH > 2.35 mm) was more predictive for noncontact ACL injuries than either factor alone. This confirms previous findings that bone morphology of both the femoral and tibial lateral ventricles contributes to axial displacement of the knee. That is, increased depth of the lateral posterior condyle of the femur and height of the lateral tibial plateau lead to increased rotation [9, 20]. These differences in bone morphology affect the biomechanics of the knee, causing greater traction of the ACL and increasing the risk of injury [21].

In this study, there was no significant difference in LFCR between women and men. In previous studies, sex differences in the morphology of the distal femur were reported. Some studies found that the anatomical morphology of femurs in females was inconsistent with that of femurs in males [11, 22], while other studies found that there was no significant difference in the morphology of distal femurs between males and females [10].

Previous studies have used different measurement methods to describe the bony morphology of the lateral femoral condyle and further found that bone morphology changes in the lateral femoral condyle could increase the probability of ACL injury. Pfeiffer quantitatively measured the osseous morphology of the lateral condyle of the femur according to the ratio of the lateral condyle on X-ray [11]. This method was simple and relatively accurate. The exclusion of a large number of patients because of malrotated radiographs could introduce bias. The study by Voleti et al. also demonstrated that radiographs underestimate posterior condylar depth measurements when compared with MRI [23]. The use of MRI would have allowed the authors to accurately quantify the posterior condylar depths of the lateral femoral condyles, assess their influence on the risk of ACL injury and reduce measurement imprecision and patient exclusion because of malrotated radiographs. Hodel et al. used the LFCI to quantitatively measure the skeletal morphology of the lateral femoral condyle on MRI [10]. In other words, the flexion circle and extension circle were drawn before and after the lateral femoral condyle, respectively, and the ratio of the radius of the two circles was considered the lateral femoral condyle index [10]. However, Li et al. indicated that the two circles had great uncertainty and randomness, possibly leading to large errors of this measurement method [24].

This study offers some strengths but also presents limitations. The main advantage of this study is that the LFCR was measured by MRI, and this method is simple to apply. Reducing the exclusion of large numbers of patients due to poor X-ray rotation may introduce bias. Considering several risk factors, a diagnostic threshold was proposed. The primary limitation of this study is that only conventional MRI was used to measure the morphological parameters of this study, instead of 3D-MRI examination. When morphological parameters are measured, the ideal sagittal section should be perpendicular to the line connecting the posterior condyle of the femur [25], which is difficult to ensure with conventional MRI [26]. Conventional MRI with excessive section thickness will make it difficult to accurately identify the sections and points of interest, resulting in errors [27]. Compared with conventional MRI, 3D-MRI can perform high-resolution isotropic acquisition through unspaced thin layer scanning [28] and create multi-plane recombination images on any angle plane while reducing some volume artefacts, thus solving the problems of image presentation. The second limitation of this study is that the control group included a group of people who visited the hospital for anterior knee pain, not healthy people. Therefore, they could have higher risk of knee sprain with respect to the general population, potentially leading to underestimation of the investigated parameters.

In this study, an elevated LFCR was associated with noncontact ACL injury as detected by MRI, and the LFCR and LTH were the most predictive risk factors for noncontact ACL injury. This may help clinicians identify individuals prone to noncontact ACL injury, allowing targeted prevention measures and interventions.