Determinants of stunting among children aged 0–59 months in Nepal: findings from Nepal Demographic and health Survey, 2006, 2011, and 2016

Child malnutrition remains a major public health problem globally. Malnutrition can take the form of stunting (height-for-age and/or weight-for-height) and underweight (weight-for-age); however, stunting is the primary form of malnutrition seen throughout the world [1, 2]. Stunting in early life is associated with adverse functional consequences, including poor cognition and educational performance, low adult wages, lost productivity, and chronic disease when accompanied by excessive weight gain later in childhood [3‐5]. While the consequences of stunting are clear, its causes are more complex [6]. Direct factors contributing to stunted growth and development include poor maternal health and nutrition, inadequate infant and young child feeding practices, micronutrient deficiencies, and infections [7]. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) identified stunting, along with other nutrition indicators, as a target to reduce global malnutrition; meeting this goal demands renewed and concerted efforts focused on disparity [8].

Globally, approximately 155 million children under 5 years suffer from stunting, with an estimated one million associated child deaths annually. Among the regions of the world, Africa and Asia share the highest burden of all forms of malnutrition. In 2017, nearly two out of every five stunted children lived in Southern Asia [9]. Nepal is one of only ten countries in the world where more than half of children under five suffer from some form of malnutrition [10]. According to the 2016 Nepal Demographic Health Survey, 36% of children under five suffered from stunting. Previous studies in Nepal have identified several common determinants of stunting, including child sex, age, birth weight, birth order, number of siblings, wealth index, mother’s education, mother’s body mass index, and access to health care [11‐13]. The Nepal government identified nutrition as one of the key priority areas for national development. In 2012, the Nepal government developed a multi-sector nutrition plan involving different line ministries to implement an evidence-based nutrition intervention throughout health and non-health sectors. As a result, Nepal has made significant gains in health and nutrition indicators, including stunting, despite being in social, economic and political transition [14], and being one of the poorest countries in South Asia. Nevertheless, decreases in stunting stalled between 2012 and 2017. To meet the global target by 2025, Nepal needs to continue to reduce stunting by 3.9% annually [15].

The purpose of this paper is to determine the prevalence and associated factors of child stunting in the last 15 years in Nepal using nationally representative data from the Nepal Demographic and Health Surveys (NDHS) 1996–2016. While previous studies attempted to explore determinants of stunting, each only reported data from a single year. Currently, there is insufficient evidence on trends and determinants of stunting from nationally representative surveys in Nepal, thus limiting long-term policy formulation and planning. Hence, assessing the trends and factors associated with stunting will provide insights into the effectiveness of the implemented program and will assist policy makers and program developers in designing new and effective programs that target groups most at-risk.

This paper uses data from the 2006, 2011, and 2016 NDHS, a nationally representative cross-sectional household survey. This dataset includes information on a variety of health topics, as well as socio-economic and demographic information. The risk factors have been classified into demographic factors, maternal nutrition factors, and child nutrition factors. The NDHS surveys used a two stage selection process; initially, enumeration areas (clusters) were selected with probability proportion-to-size (PPS) methodology and next, households were selected with an equal probability systematic selection from each sample cluster. The sampling details for this survey have been documented in the full NDHS report [16]. In 2006, height and weight information for a total of 5295 children was collected from 8707 interviewed households. Similarly, in 2011, 2603 children’s height and weight information was collected from 10,826 interviewed households, and in 2016, a total of 2428 children’s information was collected from 11,040 interviewed households. Some cases were excluded because their height and weight measurements were outliers (n = 212 in 2006, n = 118 in 2011, and n = 7 in 2016). Thus, the final sample sizes for the analyses in this paper were n = 5083 in 2006, n = 2485 in 2011, and n = 2421 in 2016. [16].

Stunting, the single outcome variable, was measured based on height-for-age z-scores <− 2 standard deviation. The NDHS calculated the height-for-age z-scores based on the 2006 World Health Organization (WHO) growth standards. These scores were used for the analysis [17]. Based on the local context and prior studies, household, maternal, and child characteristics were included as potential determinants of stunting in Nepal. Household characteristics included family size, headship of the household, caste/ethnic group (Dalit, Muslim, Janajati, other Terai caste, Brahmin/Chhetri, others), wealth quintile (based on NDHS wealth quintiles), place of residence (urban or rural), ecological zone (mountain, hill, or terai), household food security status (food secure, mildly food secure, moderately food insecure, or severely food insecure), and access to drinking water and a toilet (improved or unimproved). Maternal characteristics included the mother’s age, years of schooling, employment status (currently employed or not), BMI (underweight with a BMI < 18.5, or not), anemia (anemic or not), and number of living children. Likewise, child characteristics included age and sex of the child, birth order, size at time of birth (average or larger or below average), and anemia (anemic or not).

The NDHS used the same questions as the Household Food Insecurity Scale (HFIAS), which was originally developed by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Food and Nutrition Technical project to measure household food security status. These questions focused on the severity and frequency of food insecurity in the household units based on the 30 days preceding the survey. Based on responses to these questions, four categories were developed based on the HFIAS measuring guidelines: food secure, mildly food secure, moderately food insecure and severely food insecure [18]. Access to piped drinking water was defined as “improved” water access, while all other sources were defined as “unimproved”. Likewise, access to a toilet was defined as “improved” if the households had flush/pour toilets to piped sewer systems, septic tanks and/or pit latrines, ventilated improved pit latrines with slabs, and/or composting toilets. Access to other types of toilets were considered “unimproved”.

The NDHS collected blood samples to measure mother and child anemia using HemoCue. Children were considered anemic if their hemoglobin levels were < 11.0 g/deciliter. Likewise, mothers were considered anemic if their hemoglobin levels were < 12.0 g/deciliter for non-pregnant mothers and < 11.0 for pregnant mothers. Mothers were included if they had ever been married, were not currently pregnant, and had not given birth in the previous 2 months. Exclusion criteria included outliers in BMI, height, and weight measurements [16]. For the national representation of the sample, the analysis was performed by applying sampling weights. Descriptive, univariate, bivariate, and multivariate analyses was performed. Mean z-scores and standard deviations were calculated for height-for-age. Logistic regression models were used to identify the possible determinants of stunting. All analyses were performed in Stata version 14.

This study included 5083 children from the 2006 NDHS, 2485 children from the 2011 NDHS, and 2421 children from the 2016 NDHS. In all three surveys, more than a quarter of the children were from Janajati caste/ethnic groups, more than half were from the Terai region, and about 60% were between 24 and 59 months. With regard to mothers’ education, more than half of the mothers sampled had no schooling in 2006 and 2011; however, this was down to 36% in 2016 (Table 1).

This paper outlines the prevalence of stunting and associated risk factors among children under five in Nepal. Study findings suggest that stunting in Nepal has decreased over the last decade (mean decline of − 1.92 in 2006 to − 1.29 in 2016). The Nepal government implemented the Multi-Sectoral Nutrition Plan (MSNP) in 2012 with the key objective of improving nutrition status among adolescent girls, pregnant and lactating women, and all children under 24 months. The MSNP is an evidence-based, cost-effective nutrition intervention that integrates both national and community priorities. The plan outlines the roles of key health, education, and agriculture sectors in implementing policies and strategies. Thus, decreases in stunting may be attributable to the implementation of the MSNP in Nepal [14, 15, 19, 20].

The study analyses identified significant determinants of stunting present across all three surveys; household wealth status, number of years of mother’s schooling, age of child, size of child at time of birth, and child anemia were all associated with stunting. Children from the poorest households were more likely to be stunted than children from middle income, richer, and richest households. This reflects findings from a systematic review conducted in sub-Saharan Africa by Akombi and colleagues [21, 22]. Likewise, a study based on the Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey 2011 similarly found that wealth index was significantly associated with child stunting [21, 22]. The study findings also indicate that mothers with ten or more years of schooling were 37% less likely to have stunted children than mothers with no education. This reflects results from studies demonstrating less child stunting among mothers with more years of education [23‐28]. Reduced child stunting among more educated mothers might reflect better feeding and care practices among these mothers [29].

Findings indicate that children aged 24–59 months were at higher risk for stunting than children aged 0–23. This is consistent with findings from similar studies [30‐32], and may be explained by the protective effect of breastfeeding. While most children in Nepal are breastfed until 24 months, breastfeeding gradually declines with child age [33]. Children who had a low birth weight (less than 2.5 kg) were 1.5 times more likely to be stunted later in life than children of average or greater birth weight. The observed association between stunting and birth weight is consistent with other studies conducted in developing countries [34‐38]. This link could be explained by the greater likelihood of low birth weight children to contract infections like diarrhea and acute respiratory infection. These infections may make the child more susceptible to later complications associated with stunting.

Child anemia was another determinant for stunting; results suggest that anemic children were 1.3 to 1.6 times more likely to be stunted than non-anemic children. Other studies have similarly found childhood anemia to be a significant determinant for stunting [39‐42]. The link between anemia and stunting may be caused by anemia’s role in limiting children’s physical growth [43, 44] and iron supplementation could be used to reduce childhood stunting [45].

The findings of this study have policy implications as they provide a clear depiction of the trends and determinants of stunting from 3 nationally representative surveys over a 15 year period. Policy makers and planners can use evidence from this study to formulate feasible and culturally appropriate interventions to reduce stunting in Nepal. Though this paper explores determinants of stunting from the last 15 years of data, it is not free from limitations. The analyses are based on cross-sectional survey data; thus, we were unable to assess the causal relationship between stunting and socio-economic confounders.

The prevalence of stunting in Nepal remains among the highest of developing countries. This study highlights risk factors for stunting, including household wealth quintile, number of years of mother’s schooling, child age, child size at birth, and child anemia. In addition to the policies and programs aimed at improving maternal and child nutrition, equal focus should be given to improving mothers’ education. Findings also suggest the importance of addressing income inequality when implementing nutrition interventions.