Discussion
Among patients undergoing major cardiac and non-cardiac surgery, one in ten patients developed AKD after 7 days and only one-third of patients developing AKD after 7 days had a prior episode of early postoperative-AKI. However, when early postoperative-AKI was associated with AKD after 7 days, AKD rates increased significantly with both greater severity and duration of postoperative-AKI. Patients diagnosed with early post-operative AKI by both urine output and creatinine KDIGO criteria, had the highest AKD rates. Moreover, early postoperative-AKI was strongly associated with subsequent AKD after 7 days, independent of all other potential risk factors. Other risk factors for AKD after 7 days were female sex, age, comorbidities (hypertension, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease), emergency procedures, perioperative nephrotoxic agents (intraoperative vancomycin and cyclosporine/tacrolimus, postoperative aminoglycosides), and postoperative complications (pneumonia). Finally, among patients with preoperative CKD, progression of CKD was also more frequent in patients with early postoperative-AKI.
The findings of the EPIS-AKI study align with previous findings among hospitalized patients where CKD occurred in 11% of patients (CKD stages 3–5)[
17] and confirm the relationship between postoperative-AKI and AKD [
18‐
22]. However, a small recent study of general hospitalized CKD patients, rather than patients solely undergoing surgery, showed that the association between mild and moderate AKI and worsening subsequent kidney function was small [
23]. Our observations are consistent with the notion that AKI is a key driver for the development of AKD and that AKI and AKD are two interconnected syndromes in the perioperative setting [
8]. However, although early postoperative-AKI might be a significant risk factor for AKD after 7 days, our study also shows that patients undergoing major surgery are at risk for AKD after 7 days even if they did not have an episode of early postoperative-AKI.
Among early postoperative-AKI associated AKD patients, the duration and severity of early postoperative-AKI were two key risk factors. Aligned with our findings, one retrospective study among elderly patients showed that AKI duration of more than seven days increased the risk of CKD [
24]. Another retrospective study found an OR of 23.7 for CKD in patients with an AKI duration of more than seven days [
25]. However, the Acute Dialysis Quality Initiative (ADQI) proposed a standardized definition of persistent AKI based on the recovery of kidney function within 48 h, which is consistent with the definition used in the EPIS-AKI study [
15]. Even using such a shorter 48 h cut off point, our findings align with previous studies.
Among all surgical subspecialties, urological procedures were associated with the highest risk of AKD after 7 days; however, this is partly confounded because it included urological procedures, which resulted in nephron loss (100 patients received a nephrectomy).
Nearly 8% of patients without early postoperative-AKI developed AKD after 7 days. It is conceivable that AKI might have occurred after 72 h postoperatively, as such data was not collected in the EPIS-AKI study. Subclinical (stage 1 s) AKI, which is defined by kidney damage without a functional loss (functional biomarkers serum creatinine and urine output are normal but damage biomarkers are elevated) [
26], might have also occurred and affected the development of AKD as suggested by previous studies [
27‐
30]. Nonetheless, the data suggests that this patient population has an increased susceptibility to developing kidney functional loss in the post-operative period and AKD after 7 days. Based on this increased risk, in these patients, it might be advisable to limit the use of nephrotoxic drugs whenever possible, use therapeutic drug monitoring where available, and try to optimize hemodynamic and volume status. Further trials have to address the question whether a specific drug treatment (e.g., early treatment with angiotensin converting enzyme [ACE] and/or sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 [SGLT2] inhibitors) can affect the development of AKD.
In other studies, age, female sex, and hypertension have been associated with AKD [
17]. These risk factors were also found in the EPIS-AKI study, but additionally perioperative modifiable risk factors were detected. Nephrotoxic agents are known risk factors for AKI [
31,
32] but, as shown here, probably also for AKD after 7 days even in patients without early AKI. As such, intraoperative use of immunosuppressive agents was associated with a higher risk of AKD after 7 days. One could question whether this is caused by the drug itself or whether this might be related to kidney transplantation. However, kidney transplantation was an exclusion criterion for the EPIS-AKI study. Immunosuppressive agents have different indications apart from kidney transplantation (e.g., other transplantations, rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis). Consequently, it is likely the toxicity of the drug itself was related to the increased risk of AKD after 7 days. Thus, treatment with nephrotoxic medications must be carefully considered and, if possible, avoided. The implementation of a nephrotoxic drug stewardship could help prevent AKI and maybe also prevent AKD and CKD [
33]. The fact that the postoperative application of NSAIDs and vancomycin was associated with lower rates of AKI may appear counterintuitive. However, it might be explained by selection bias or that, in such cases, clinicians were alerted to the risks associated with these drugs and therefore modify their treatment.
Acknowledgements
The European Society of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care (ESAIC), among the following medical societies endorsed this study but had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript. However, we would like to thank these societies for their support on the promotion of EPIS-AKI: Colegio Mexicano de Medicina Crítica (COMMEC), Colombian Association of Surgery (CAS), Czech Society of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care (CSARIM), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Anästhesiologie und Intensivmedizin (DGAI), European Society of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care (ESAIC), Korean Society of Anesthesiologists (KSA), Società Italiana di Anestesia Analgesia Rianimazione e Terapia Intensiva (SIAARTI), Société Française d’Anesthésie et de Réanimation (SFAR), South African Society of Anaesthesiologists (SASA), Spanish Perioperative Audit and Research Network (REDGERM), Turkish Anaesthesiology and Reanimation Society (TARD).
The EPIS AKI investigators: Algeria: Constantine Centre Hospitalier Universitaire (Hichem Makhloufi), Etablissement Hospitalier Spécialisé Salim Zemirli El Harrach (Rachida Sakhraoui), Saadna Abdenour Teaching Hospital (Amel Ouyahia, Mounira Rais, Aya Tinhinane Kouicem), Sabratha Libya National Cancer Institute (Khawla Derwish), University Hospital of Sétif (Meriem Abdoun, Ilhem Ouahab, Souad Bouaoud), University Hospital 1st November 1954 (Anisse Tidjane). Colombia: Universidad El Bosque, Fundación Cardioinfantil (Carlos Jose Pérez Rivera, Juan Pablo García). China: First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University (Ke Peng, Fu-hai Ji, Zheng-min Ma). Egypt: Tanta University Faculty of Medicine (Mohamed Gamal Elbahnasawy, Shady Elsalhawy), Alexandria University Main Hospital (Ahmed Mahmoud Nafea), Alexandria University (Nermin A. Osman), Mansoura University, Faculty of Medicine, Gastrointestinal Surgical Center (Moataz Maher Emara, Mohamed Mamdouh Bonna), Zagazig University Hospital (Ibrahim Abdelmonaem Abdehaleem), Assiut University Hospital (Ahmed Mohamed Abbas, Mostafa Samy Abbas, Hany Mostafa Esmaeil). France: Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Bordeaux (Oliver Joannes-Boyau), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Reims (Vincent Legros, Thierry Floch, Salvatore Muccio, Lison Menage-Innocenti, Benjamin Brochet, Marion Leclercq-Rouget), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Orléans (Claire Geneve, Bernardita Valenzuela Mocarquer), Hôpital Privé Sévigné (Christophe Aveline, Pierre Vautier), Hôpital Robert Schuman-Groupe UNEOS (Julien Nadaud), Hôpital Edouard Herriot (Thomas Rimmelé, Valérie Cerro), Gustave Roussy (Stéphanie Suria, Jamie Elmawieh , Rita El-Jawiche), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Lille (Cédric Cirenei, Gilles Lebuffe), Polyclinique de Limoges, Clinique François Chénieux (Sébastien Ponsonnard), Centre Hospitalier des Pays de Morlaix (Pierre-Yves Egreteau), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Nice, Université Côte d’Azur (Carole Ichai), Centre Hospitalier Dron Tourcoing (Vanessa Jean-Michel), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire d'Angers (Maxime Léger, Sigismond Lasocki, Charline Masson, Emmanuel Rineau , Viviane Cassisa), Centre François Baclesse (Pierre Verrier), Hôpital Bichat (Enora Atchade), Centre Hospitalier Simone Veil de Blois (Charles-Edouard Rochon), Centre Hospitalier de Bigorre (Vidal Quentin), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Bordeaux, Site Pellegrin (Nina Queixalos), Clinique Sainte Anne (Thierry Braun), Centre Hospitalier Libourne (Hubert Grand), Clinique Pasteur (Nicolas Mayeur, Marie Pasquie), Centre Hospitalier de Marne-La-Vallée (Pierre Garçon), Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Nice (Vincent Bruckert), Centre Hospitalier Henri Mondor d'Aurillac (Gaël Pradel), Centre Hospitalier Mont de Marsan (Andersen Ramorasata), Centre Hospitalier de Dax (Céline Ravry), Clinique de la Sauvegarde (Nicolas Mottard). Germany: University Hospital Münster (Alexander Zarbock, Melanie Meersch, Raphael Weiss, Thilo von Groote, Christian Dörr, Mira Küllmar, Christina Massoth, Arash Motekallemi, Khaschayar Saadat-Gilani, Felix Albert, Laura Kerschke, Michael Storck, Julian Varghese, Carola Wempe), University Hospital RWTH Aachen (Linda Grüßer, Ana Kowark), University Hospital Düsseldorf (Timo Brandenburger), Kliniken Maria Hilf Mönchengladbach (Andreas Hohn), University Hospital Tübingen (Peter Rosenberger, Helene Häberle, Pascal Hofmann, Jonathan Kuhle, Stefanie Calov, Alice Marie Bernard, Valbona Mirakaj, Kathrin Weber, Kathrin Pfister, Lena Stetz), University Hospital Leipzig (Sarah Dorothea Müller), Herz-Jesu-Hospital Münster (Stephan Klaus, Marco Sadlo), St. Josef-Stift Sendenhorst (Christian Sengelhoff), Sankt Franziskus Hospital (Carina-Kristin Stenger, Ulrich Göbel) Hosspital Karlsburg (Matthias Heringlake). Greece: University Hospital Larissa (Eleni Arnaoutoglou), Laiko General Hospital of Athens (Panagiota Stratigopoulou), University Hospital Ioannina (Pantazi Danai), G. Gennimatas’ General Hospital of Athens (Antonia Dimakopoulou), General Hospital of Thessaloniki "George Papanikolaou" (Apostolos-Alkiviadis Menis), Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, General Hospital “George Papanikolaou” (Orestis Ioannidis). Iraq: Al-Diwaniyah Hospital (Humam Jalaawiy), Bagdad Medical City Hospital (Aeshah Anwar), Al-Nassiryah Teaching Hospital (Hashim Talib Hashim), Khanaqeen General Hospital (Hogir Imad Rasheed Aldawoody). Italy: Policlinico Paolo Giaccone (Andrea Cortegiani, Mariachiara Ippolito, Claudia Marino, Gabriele Presti, Dario Calogero Fricano), San Bortolo Hospital (Silvia De Rosa), Montebelluna City Hospital (Andrea Bianchin), San Carlo Regional Hospital (Gianluca Paternoster, Umberto Fasciano), Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS and Catholic University of the Sacred Heart (Salvatore Lucio Cutuli), University of Ferrara (Spadaro Savino, Bussolati Enrico, Palmieri Marco, Volta Carlo Alberto), Great Metropolitan Hospital "Bianchi-Melacrino-Morelli" (Vincenzo Francesco Tripodi), Sant'Eugenio Hospital (Diego Fiume), Frangipane Hospital (Angela Iuorio), General Hospital Vallecamonica (Clemente Santorsola). Jordan: Al-Basheer Hospital Amman (Bilal Abu-Hussein, Khaled Hasanein). (South) Korea: Yonsei University College of Medicine (Seokyung Shin), University Hospital Yeungnam, Yeungnam School of Medicine (Jongyoon Baek, Sehui Kim). Libya: University of Tripoli (Muhammed Elhadi), Benghazi Medical Center (Wafa Aldressi, Issa A. Abuzeid, Mohammed N. Albaraesi, Mohamed Aziz Moftah, Sarah Aldressi), Tripoli Central Hospital (Wegdan Khalel, Eman Abdulwahed, Entisar Ahmed Ali Alshareea, Akram Abdulhamid Ashur Abujrad Reem Ghmagh, Marwa Isa Biala), National Cancer Institute Sabratha (Khawla Derwish), National Heart Center Tripoli (Rayet Al Islam Benjouira, Mohamed Aliwa), University Hospital Tripoli (Ahmed Msherghi, Ahmed Tuwaib, Tahani Mustafa, Haifa Zriba), AboSleem Hospital (Hamza Mahmoud Agilla), El-Khadra Hospital (Bahaeddin Taher Sadek Ben Hamida, Rema Hassan Mohamed Otman). Macedonia: University Hospital Skopje Mother Theresa (Maja Mojsova Mijovska). Malta: Mater Dei Hospital (Anne Marie Camilleri Podesta). Mexico: Regional Hospital of High Specialty of Ixtapaluca (Gilberto Adrián Gasca López). Palestine: Princess Alia Governmental Hospital (Sarah Amro). Portugal: Hospital São Bernardo, Central Hosptial of Setúbal (Rita de Freitas Regufe). Russia: Kemerovo Cardiology Centre (Evgeny Grigoryev, Artem Ivkin, Dmitriy Balakhnin, Dmitriy Shukevich), A.N. Bakulev National Medical Research Center of Cardiovascular Surgery (Michael Yaroustovsky). Saudi Arabia: Almana General Hospital Al-Khobar (Abdulnaser Barmou). Switzerland: University Hospital Zurich (Alexander Kaserer, Clara Castellucci, Samira Akbas). Slovenia: University Medical Centre Maribor (Andreja Möller Petrun, Irena Gregorcic, Vesna Sok). South Africa: Stellenbosch University, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences (Andre Links). Spain: University Hospital Virgen de las Nieves(Elizabeth Bárcena Barreto), University Hospital Infanta Leonor (Javier Ripollés Melchor), University Hospital Gran Canaria Doctor Negrín (Ángel Becerra-Bolaños, Aurelio Rodríguez-Pérez), University Hospital Son Llàtzer (Javier Mata Estévez, Juan Mulet Matas, Sara Pérez Palao), Hospital de Sant Pau (Mercedes García Álvarez, Albert Bainac Albadalejo, Astrid Batalla González, Ana María Gómez Caro, Ignacio Hinojal Blanco, Diego Toral Fernandez, Gracia Herranz Perez), Txagorritxu Hospital Álava (Margarita Logroño Ejea, Noelia de la Rosa Ruiz, María Gastaca Abasolo), San Pedro Hospital (Lourdes Ferreira, Félix Lobato, Marta Aguado Sevilla), Fundación Puigvert, (Andres Erazo), University Hospital Donostia (Berta Castellano Paulis), Hospital 12 de Octubre (Isabel de la Calle Gil), University Hospital Bellvitge (Peter Adamove, Francho Miguel Blasco Blasco), University Hospital Fundacion Alcorcón (Jose Ignacio García-Sánchez, Sara García Zamorano, Natalia Gijón Herreros), Navarra University Clinic (Raquel Callejas), University Hospital Ciudad Real (Mercedes Estaire Gómez), University Hospital Ramón y Cajal (Angel M. Candela-Toha, Elisabeth Claros-Llamas, Pilar Cobeta-Orduña, Pascual Crespo-Aliseda, Trinidad Dorado-Díaz, María Gómez-Rojo, M. Nuria Mané-Ruiz, M. Carmen Martín-González, Adolfo Martínez-Pérez, Carlos Tiscar), University Hospital Vall d’Hebron (Patricia Galán Menéndez, Verónica Estepa Calvo, Laura Llinares Espí, Yuri Santiago Loaiza Aldeán, Víctor Morales Ariza, Laura Villarino Vila), La Gerencia de Asistencia Sanitaria de Segovia (Francisco Javier García-Miguel). Sudan: Sharg Alneel Hospital & Omdurman Military Hospital (Elfayadh S. M. Suliman), Gadarif Teaching Hospital (Ahmed Mohamed Ibrahim), Ahmed Gasim Hospital (Hammad Ali. Fadlalmola). Syria: Aleppo, Syria Faculty of Medicine (Sarya Swed). Taiwan: National Taiwan University Hospital and College of Medicine (Vin-Cent Wu). Turkey: Istanbul University Istanbul Faculty of Medicine (Mukadder Orhan-Sungur, Demet Altun, Nur Canbolat, Müşerref Beril Dinçer), Acibadem Mehmet Ali Aydinlar University School of Medicine (Serap Aktas Yildirim), Acibadem Mehmet Ali Aydinar University School of Medicine, Atakent Hospital (Muzeyyen Iyigun), Mersin University (Davud Yapıcı, Levent Özdemir, Aslınur Sagün), Akdeniz University (Neval Boztug, Emel Gündüz,), Cukurova University (Demet Lafli-Tunay), Ondokuz Mayis University (Deniz Karakaya, Burhan Dost, Ozgur Komurcu), Istanbul University-Cerrahpasa (Ozlem Korkmaz Dilmen, Eren Fatma Akcil, Yusuf Tunali), Manisa Celal Bayar University (Gulay Ok, Eda Tok-Alsina), Prof. Dr. Cemil Taşcıoğlu City Hospital (Cengiz Polat), Yeditepe University (Nurcan Kızılcık), University of Health Sciences Haseki Education and Training Hospital (Öznur Şen), Koç University (Kamil Darçın, Semra Uğur , Yavuz Gürkan), Health Sciences University Kartal Dr Lutfi Kirdar City Hospital (Kemal Tolga Saracoglu, Özge Yıldız-Koyuncu), Ankara Bilkent City Hospital (Z. Aslı Demir, N. Aysun Postacı, Ayşegül Özgök, Ümit Karadeniz, Hülya Yiğit Özay, Eda Balcı, Nevriye Salman, Behiç Girgin), Balikesir University (Ozlem Sagir, Hafize Fisun Demir, Fatih Ugun), Inonu University (Hüseyin İlksen Toprak), Süleyman Demirel University ( Mustafa Soner Özcan, Filiz Alkaya-Solmaz), Derince Training And Research Hospital (Mehmet Yilmaz), Bursa Yüksek Ihtisas Training and Research Hospital (Umran Karaca), Trakya University (Sevtap Hekimoglu Şahin), Ankara University İbni Sina Hospital (Süheyla Karadağ Erkoç, Neslihan Alkış), Cebeci Hospital (Volkan Baytaş), Karadeniz Technical University (Engin Erturk, Sedat Saylan, Ali Akdogan), Gazi University School of Medicine (Beyza Büyükgebiz Yeşil), Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam University Faculty of Medicine (Omer Faruk Boran, Yavuz Orak, Feyza Çalişir), Dokuz Eylül University (Sibel Büyükçoban, Bahar Kuvaki), Bursa Uludag University (Seda Cansabuncu, Selcan Akesen, Suna Gören), Baltalimani Metin Sabanci Bone and Joint Diseases Education and Research Hospital (Tugce Yeniocak, Osman Orman), Duzce University (Özlem Ersoy Karka), Kocaeli University (Tulay Sahin). Ukraine: Zaporizhzhia State Medical University Hospital (Natalia Momot, Anna Panchenko). USA: University of Alabama (Jean-Francois Pittet, Kristen Rutledge).