Introduction
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) was frequently used to treat coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) during the initial outbreak from January to June 2020 [
1‐
4]. High-volume ECMO centers and large ECMO networks reported similar survival rates for these patients compared to ECMO-supported patients with non-COVID-associated ARDS [
5‐
7].
Management of COVID-19 patients evolved over the following months, as knowledge of the disease improved with the publication of landmark randomized trials. In June 2020, RECOVERY-trial results showed that dexamethasone (6 mg/day for 10 days) significantly reduced mortality compared to usual care for patients receiving either invasive mechanical ventilation or oxygen alone. That dexamethasone regimen was recommended by the World Health Organization and largely prescribed to COVID-19 patients. High-flow oxygen through a nasal cannula (HFNO) or noninvasive ventilation (NIV) was also shown to lower COVID-19 patients’ need for invasive mechanical ventilation and was recommended in national and international guidelines.
Because the care of COVID-19 patients evolved during the second part of 2020, we compared the characteristics and outcomes of patients who received ECMO support before and after July 1, 2020, for laboratory-confirmed severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS)-associated coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in Paris–Sorbonne Hospitals.
Methods
Study settings
All consecutive adults, with laboratory-confirmed SARS-Cov-2 infection admitted to Paris–Sorbonne University Hospital Network ICUs, who received venoarterial (VA)- or venovenous (VV)-ECMO for severe ARDS from March 8, 2020, to January 28, 2021, were included, and provided 90-day survival status. The characteristics and outcomes of the first 83 cohort patients were reported previously [
2]. We chose to split that cohort into two periods, before and after July 1, 2020, respectively. That date corresponds to the publication of the RECOVERY trial [
8], and the transition period between the first and second COVID-19 waves in France. ECMO support was provided in four ICUs at Pitié–Salpêtrière and Tenon Hospitals before July 1, and in one Pitié–Salpetrière Hospital ICU thereafter. The Sorbonne University Ethics Committee approved the study protocol (CER-SU-2020–46).
ECMO indications and organization
ECMO indications for COVID-19 patients are detailed elsewhere [
2,
4] and did not change throughout the study period. Briefly, indication(s) for ECMO implantation were centralized and evaluated in staff meetings, including at least two intensivists. Severe ARDS patients eligible for ECMO had to fulfill EOLIA trial respiratory severity criteria [
5], with pre-ECMO use of neuromuscular-blocking agents and prone-positioning strongly recommended. Similarly, ECMO contraindications were still age > 70 years, severe comorbidities, cardiac arrest, refractory multiorgan failure or Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II [
9] > 90, irreversible neurological injury and/or invasive mechanical ventilation for > 10 days. Once the indication was retained, the Pitié–Salpêtrière Mobile ECMO Retrieval Team, comprising a cardiovascular surgeon and a perfusionist, was sent at the patient’s bedside for ECMO cannulation and retrieval to our department, as described previously [
10,
11].
Management of ECMO for COVID-19
Throughout the study period, femoral–jugular percutaneous cannulation under ultrasonography guidance with a large drainage femoral cannula (25–29Fr) was strongly recommended for VV-ECMO. Pump speed was adjusted to obtain > 90% arterial oxygen saturation. Optimal cannula positioning was verified by ultrasonography and chest X-ray. Because of frequent thromboembolic events on-ECMO, including massive pulmonary embolism [
12], and based on our early experience [
2], the targeted activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) for VV-ECMO anticoagulation with unfractionated heparin was 60–75 s or anti-Xa activity 0.3–0.5 IU/mL. The hemoglobin threshold for red-cell transfusion was 7–8 g/dL and platelet transfusions were discouraged except for severe thrombocytopenia (< 50 G/L) or thrombocytopenia < 100 G/L with bleeding. To enhance protection against ventilator-induced lung injury, ultra-protective lung ventilation on-ECMO was recommended [
6], and early prone-positioning on-ECMO was encouraged in the absence of hemodynamic instability and contraindications [
13]. Based on the first descriptions [
1,
2,
14] of very long ECMO runs and mechanical ventilation of COVID-19 patients, our team decided to decrease on-ECMO neuromuscular blocking-agent use for these patients. Patients were assessed daily for possible ECMO-weaning using the EOLIA clinical and physiological criteria [
5,
15]. On-ECMO tracheostomy was considered after having identified, before the procedure, that the patient would likely tolerate decreased sedation. All tracheostomy decisions were made after discussion within the medical team of the balance between risks and benefits of that procedure on-ECMO [
16]. When VA-ECMO was initiated, the ipsilateral limb received percutaneous cannulation via an anterograde perfusion catheter.
Data collection
Our first-wave, ECMO-treated COVID-19 patients’ data were reported previously [
2]. Briefly, they included pre-ECMO demographic information; severity scores (i.e., SAPS II [
9]; Sequential Organ-Failure Assessment (SOFA) score [
17]; Respiratory Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Survival Prediction (RESP) score [
18]); rescue therapies; pre-ECMO ventilatory mechanics, including driving pressure (ΔP), mechanical power [
19] and ventilatory ratio [
20]; arterial blood-gas parameters, and routine laboratory values. Because we expected that pre-intubation management had changed over the study period, HFNO and NIV use and their durations were also noted.
Mechanical ventilation settings, arterial blood gases, adjuvant therapies on-ECMO and ECMO-related complications were recorded daily from day 1 to 7, then every 7 days until ECMO-day 60, ECMO-weaning or death, whichever occurred first. Major bleeding was defined as the need for ≥ 2 units of packed red blood cells for an obvious hemorrhagic event, necessitating a surgical or interventional procedure, an intracerebral hemorrhage or being fatal, while massive hemolysis was defined as plasma-free hemoglobin > 500 mg/L associated with clinical signs of hemolysis.
Lastly, specific COVID-19 treatments were recorded. We specified whether dexamethasone (6 mg/day) was initiated before or during ECMO, and if the patient received high-dose corticosteroids, defined as > 1 mg/kg/day of prednisone or equivalent since ARDS onset, during the ECMO run [
21].
Outcomes
Patient outcomes on days 28, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80 or 90 post-ECMO implantation included the following endpoints: on-ECMO, in-ICU and weaned-off ECMO, alive and out of ICU or died. The time spent in each of those four states until the specified days were also calculated. Other outcomes included ICU- and ECMO-related complications.
Statistical analyses
Patient characteristics are expressed as n (%) for categorical variables or median (interquartile range, IQR) for continuous parameters, as appropriate.
To describe patients’ in-ICU trajectories over time, a multi-state model was used as in our previous study [
2,
22]. Briefly, this framework considers that a patient can go through different states during follow-up. Herein, the starting time was the ECMO-initiation day, making on-ECMO the initial state for all patients, potentially followed by two intermediate states: in-ICU & weaned-off ECMO or alive & out of the ICU. Because patients could die at any time during follow-up, either in-ICU or after discharge, the death is the only final absorbing state (the final state that a patient can enter but once entered cannot be left). In this four-state model (Additional file
1), each box represents a state and each arrow represents possible transitions from one state to another.
After assessing patient status, participants who did not reach the final absorbing state were right-censored. A Cox model stratified on each possible transition state was fitted to estimate transition (from one state to another) and state-occupation (for each of the four states) probabilities over time; the percentages of patients occupying each possible state were represented simultaneously over time with a stacked probability plot and reported with their 95% confidence interval (CI) on days 28, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80 and 90 post-ECMO initiation. Another figure (Additional file
2) individually displays all possible transition probabilities from one state to another over time. Mean state-occupation times (i.e., the expected length of stay in each possible state of the multi-state model) were also reported at the same times. Finally, median on-ECMO duration and length of ICU stay were established. These analyses were computed separately for the first and second waves.
Pre-ECMO risk factors for 90-day mortality were assessed for the entire cohort using univariate and multivariate Cox regression models. The variables included in the multivariate model were defined a priori, without any variable selection. Multiple imputations were used to replace missing values when appropriate. Briefly, 10 copies of the dataset were created with the missing values replaced by imputed values, based on observed data including participants’ outcomes and pre-ECMO characteristics. Each dataset was then analyzed and the results from each dataset were pooled into a final result applying Rubin’s rule [
23]. Hazard ratios and their 95% CIs were estimated.
Finally, adjusted Kaplan–Meier probabilities of survival were estimated from the multivariate Cox regression model. Each subject’s survival probability over time was estimated from the model, first considering all subjects included during the first wave, and second considering all subjects included during the second wave. Then, the survival probabilities were averaged across all individuals. Finally, unadjusted and adjusted Kaplan–Meier curves were plotted on the same figure.
All the analyses were computed at a two-sided α level of 5% with R software, version 4.0.3.
Discussion
Patient mortality 90 days after starting ECMO support in our experienced center for the most severe forms of COVID-19 ARDS increased from 36% before to 48% after July 1, 2020. Patients admitted after that date were older, had longer ICU-admission-to-intubation intervals, with more frequent HFNO or NIV use, and most of them had received dexamethasone at ECMO onset. Independent pre-ECMO predictors of 90-day mortality for the entire cohort were older age, longer ICU-admission-to-ECMO interval, cardiovascular dysfunction, not having received dexamethasone and being admitted after July 1, 2020.
The higher mortality rate of our ECMO-treated COVID-19 patients admitted after July 1, 2020, was unexpected. Differences in patient characteristics, management and SARS-CoV-2 pathogenicity might explain that observation. First, the responsibility of pathogenicity seems unlikely, since the original European SARS-CoV-2 represented > 90% of strains circulating in France until mi-January 2021, after which the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant progressively became dominant. Second, most patient characteristics were comparable for the two periods, except for a 5-year higher median age during the second period. However, pre-ECMO patient management differed markedly after July 1, 2020. After RECOVERY trial results (published in June 2020) demonstrated lower mortality of patients randomized to receive 10 days of dexamethasone (6 mg/day) compared to usual care of mechanically ventilated COVID-19 patients (29% vs. 41%, respectively), most patients received corticosteroids. Pertinently, having started dexamethasone pre-ECMO was significantly associated with lower 90-day mortality in our predictive model. Also, more frequent use of dexamethasone and high-dose corticosteroids for persistent ARDS after July 1 was not associated with a higher rate of infectious complications.
The other notable patient-management differences were more frequent HFNO or NIV use and for longer durations before intubation during the second period. Although noninvasive respiratory support was shown to lower the need for intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation, COVID-19 patients for whom this strategy failed may have been at increased risk of morbidity and mortality [
24,
25]. Indeed, strong and dysregulated spontaneous respiratory efforts, associated with wide transpulmonary pressure swings might heighten the risk of harmful “self-inflicted lung injury” on HFNO or NIV, with more frequent fibrotic evolution of COVID-19 pneumonia [
26,
27]. That phenomenon could even be more difficult to detect in COVID-19 patients, who frequently experience dissociation between profound hypoxemic respiratory failure, and only moderate feelings and signs of respiratory distress and dyspnea [
28]. Pertinently, the higher pneumothorax rate after July 1, despite similar ventilatory management during both periods, supports that hypothesis, even though pre-ECMO respiratory mechanic parameters did not differ significantly between periods. It should also be noted that although on-ECMO prone-positioning remained frequent (> 80%) after July 1, fewer patients received continuous neuromuscular blockade. Lastly, pulmonary embolism, stroke and hemorrhage rates did not change, while intravascular hemolysis and clogged circuits requiring change were more frequent after July 1. Those observations might reflect the significantly lower anticoagulation delivered to our second-period patients.
We acknowledge several limitations of this study. Our patients were treated in a high-volume, experienced ECMO center. Because better post-ECMO outcomes have been reported in such centers [
4,
29], caution is required when extrapolating these results to less-experienced ECMO centers. Second, our study took place before SARS-CoV-2 variants associated with more severe ARDS forms became more prevalent (UK 20I/501Y.V1, South African 20H/501Y.V2, BR-P1 Brazilian, and Delta variants). ECMO outcomes of patients infected with those more virulent strains should be evaluated urgently. Third, COVID-19 management evolved throughout the study period, with widespread use of corticosteroids and interleukin-6 inhibitors. Therefore, patients refractory to several COVID-19 treatments who received ECMO during the second period might be considered sicker than those managed before July 1, 2020. Moreover, we cannot exclude that some residual confounding factors may not have been taken into account in our logistic model. Lastly, our cohort’s mortality rate could evolve further, as some patients were still hospitalized 90 days after ICU admission.
Conclusion
In conclusion, survival of ECMO-rescued patients with severe COVID-19 ARDS in our experienced center has declined over time and is no longer comparable to that of non-COVID ECMO patients. Failure of prolonged non-invasive oxygenation strategies before intubation and increased lung damage, as well as selection of patients already refractory to specific COVID-19 treatments might partially explain this outcome. Although other residual confounding factors may not have been considered herein, the duration of noninvasive respiratory support, e.g., continuous positive airway pressure, HFNO or NIV, should perhaps be integrated in the decision to initiate ECMO for severe COVID-19 patients.
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